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Showing posts with label Japan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Japan. Show all posts

Sunday, May 20, 2012

-> Economic recovery of Japan Blasts past peers as Q1 GDP tops forecasts

Is little more than a year after the devastating earthquake and tsunami that decimated a good part of Japan and its economy, but more recent data suggests a remedy whose-half the resilience and the commitment of the Government of Japan. Recent figures show that Japan's economy far ahead of call-in capture of industrial services, including USA, UK, Germany.
According to the Japanese Cabinet Office, Japan's economy grew in the first quarter, with Gdp mentioned in 4.1% annualized, well above the revised increase of 0.1% in the previous quarter and analysts ' expectations for an increase of 3.5%. In a fourth quarter-in basis, the figures are consistent, 1.0% increase from 0.0% in the previous quarter and slightly besting predictions of 0,9%. According to the report, the better than expected numbers was the result of a combination of factors including increased exports, domestic consumption and public investment in infrastructure reconstruction.
As of this writing, the pair USD/JPY is higher in 80.4620, the EUR/JPY is flat on the 102.1705 and the USD/JPY is higher at 79.7856. OpenBook trader from mencke to Germany has recently closed many professions Yen-crossed with various degrees of profit, a position long USD/JPY which closes with a 23,7% profit, while a long EUR/JPY where a trader with a profit of 22.4% in USD/JPY long who eked out a profit of 0.24%. The trader only has negotiated to OpenBook for about a month, but we can already see some laudable gains on Yen-with crossed lines for the month, the distribution of 4,6% of the pair USD/JPY has provided the trader with a profit of 26.9%, while the allocation of 7% to EUR/USD gave the dealer a return of 10.5%.
OpenBook guru Noe017 from France also had some good success with the Japanese yen, trading during the last quarter, the allocation of 4.8% for the pair USD/JPY gave 5,4% return, while a breakdown by 10,9% EUR/JPY has given a profit of 1.9% over the same period. An open short EUR/JPY close to dead, and a short position in the pair ended recently with a profit of 10.63%. Guru has 234 copiers and 2,493 followers as of writing this and the quarterly P/L is 54.7% and in 6 months is 101.2%.
It also shows improvement for the month of March was industrial production improved 14.2% by 13.9% (revised from 1,5%) on an annual basis. Based on a month to month, the Japanese Ministry of economy, trade and industry reports to 1,3% increase from a revised 1,0%, compared with expectations of 1,1%.
The Bank of Japan said that it is determined to maintain the Japanese Yen value oppressed despite the insurgence of funds safe haven after the eurozone's debt crisis. Despite the improvement in key points of data, the latest news is not likely to change position of the Bank in any way, but in fact might even stronger determination. Analysts believe that growth in Japan is likely to be modest, given the situation in the eurozone crisis and slowdown of the Chinese economy, which will weigh on Japan's exports.

Friday, April 27, 2012

:: Spanish Downgrade and the Bank of the Japan Action inspire fresh volatility

27 April 2012 06: 20 GMT S & P downgrades Spain two notches to BBB PM Rajoy comments contribute to risk off price action Yen sees whipsaw price action post new BOJ measures SNB back in focus. keeping an eye on EUR/CHF Risk correlated assets have come under pressure into Friday trade following the news of the latest S & P downgrade of Spain's credit rating by two notches to BBB. Comments from Spanish PM Rajoy that the country's ability to fund itself isat risk and that budget cuts are necessary due to an unmanageable deficit, also have not helped matters. As a result, the Euro has come under some added pressure, with the single currency trading back below 1.3200.
Elsewhere, the Yen was subjected to some highly choppy whipsaw trade after the Bank of Japan announced additional monetary easing measures. Although the BOJ left rates on hold as expected, the Yen was sold off after the asset purchase fund was raised by Y10 trillion (net Y5 trillion as Y5 trillion fixed rate operation was reduced), and the maturity of the purchasing JGBs was extended to 3 years.
However, any initial Yen weakness on the announcement was easily absorbed, with USD/JPY more than giving back its post event risk rally. The broader macro theme of risk off trade proved to be the more influential market mover and perhaps sent a message that government action can not have any lasting influence on currency management.
This offers a good segue into the subject of Swiss intervention, and we would remind investors to not forget about the EUR/CHF cross rate, which has been unable to establish any upside momentum beyond 1.2000, despite firm warnings from the SNB that the 1.2000 floor will be aggressively defended. The recent Yen rally post BOJ moves can not be comforting to the SNB, and just might provide enough ammunition for Swiss long to ramp up their efforts. While we are not necessarily calling a EUR/CHF 1.2000 break today, we also will be keeping a close eye.
Overall, we would still recommend trading with extreme caution in these very tight directionless markets. Despite the pullback, the market still seems to be very well supported Euro on dips, and we would still not rule out the possibility for a reversal back above 1.3200 and towards 1.3300. We are very bearish once 1.3300 is tested, but at current levels, we remain supervised. Ultimately, it will be attitude towards risk that overlooked market direction. Any pick up in risk appetite will be Euro and positive currency (USD and potentially negative Yen), while added fear and uncertainty will likely weigh on the FX markets and benefit the US Dollar.

Thursday, March 22, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China Blitz PMI bleibt unter 50; Japan zeichnet einen Handelsüberschuss Überraschung waren



-CHINA (CN) MAR HSBC FLASH MANUFACTURING PMI: 48.1 v 49,7 before (5 consecutive contraction, 4-month low fall first in 4 months) >-(JP) JAPAN FEB MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE total: + ¥ 32 be V ¥ 120BE (first surplus in 5 months); BEREINIGTE trade balance:-313 b ¥ V ¥ 343BE (5-month high)
-(NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 GDP Q/F: 0.3% V 0.6%E; Y/Y: 1.8% V 2.2%E; 2011 GDP: 1.4% V 1.6%e
-(JP) JAPAN FEB NATIONWIDE SUPERMARKET SALES Y/Y: 0.3% V 1.2% BEFORE
-(CO) COLOMBIA JAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: 2.4% V 4.0%E; RETAIL SALES Y/Y: 4.9% V 7.0%E
B. market snapshot (04: 30GMT).
-Nikkei225 0.1%
-S & P/ASX + 0.5%
-Kospi 0.2%
-Taiwan TAIEX + 0.8%
-Singapur Straits Times 0.3%
-Shanghai composite - 0.4%
-Hang Seng unchanged
S & P futures 0.1% at 1.396
-April gold 0.1% to $1.649 / oz
-Can raw 0.6% to $106.63
B. Overview/top headlines.
Markets were mixed today, with the weakness of the dollar against major currencies. Opening gains after HSBC Flash manufacturing PMI for China came back compared to 48,1 were, this was the 5th consecutive contraction and a 4-month low. There was some chatter ahead of time which could be the reading of 50. New exports was also from the last reading at 46.2 in February. First of all, the AUD/USD fell over 60 pips to $1.0415 (2-month low). The fell also Shanghai composite, but three hours later it returned to positive territory wins more than 0.3%. Over night the PBoC cut off the required reserve ratio (RRR) for other branches of the agricultural Bank of China to promote credit in the rural areas, March 25. The preferred policy, which now covers originally 563 county-level outlets in 8 provinces covers a further 379 outlet type in 4 provinces. Qualified so far 565 outlets have the lower ratio of RRR, a move that could share about CNY23B, when granting credit for these areas. Yen surprise in Japan for February has the a trade surplus a boost after. USD/JPY dropped below ¥ 83.20 in the news. This was the first surplus in 5 months, a high deficit of ¥ 313 b 5 month came the trade balance Japan adapted. Exports to China went for the sixth month in a row, while their biggest increase in exports in the United States since Dec 2010. The NZ$ 40 pips after Q4 fell GDP data, private expenditure increases expect tightening of the directive in December despite the soft Q4 GDP data 0.8%, while government spending start 0.7%, which was Q/q analysts at ANZ for the RBNZ, but must pick up economic growth in H2. Silver and copper reversed yesterday's profits fall 0.4% and 0.9% or. Wheat and maize on their profits up 0.3% and 0.4% respectively and.
** Speaker/geopolitical/in the press.
-(AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) signed CNY200B bilateral currency swap line with China the PBoC worth up to a$ 30 (b) first 3-year period
-(JP) Japan Govt Official: preliminary talks with China and South Korea by 3-way finished investment pact
-(KR) South Korea fin min Bahk: economy could his bottom in the first quarter reached
-(JP) boJ Morimoto: liquidity concerns in Europe declined, although debt crisis also risks of Japan and the world economy
-(EU) ECB Pres Draghi: LTRO will not fuel pump inflation; Will take preventative measures if deteriorating inflation Outlook
-(AU) RBA assist gov Ferrari: competition for deposits is the main driver of higher funding costs for banks
-(CN) China State Council Development Center bin researchers Yu: GDP by 8.5%, expected 2012 Narrow trade surplus expected in this year
B. shares.
-Wharf, 4.HK: FY11 reports underlying HK$ 8.1 benefit b V HK$ 7. 9be, Rev HK$ 24B, + 24% y/y
-VAH.AU: Australian competition and Consumer Commission expected to announce that it agrees with Australian Press Alliance between Virgin and SkyWest-
-BSL.AU: will the company into two units, which separated on global prefabricated building market and products market
-SIP.AU: Reports FY11 net a$ 49.2 M-V a$ 51Me; Special dividend declared by $0.015
** US stocks.
-GM: Australia Govt give has, an A is $ 275 M aid package to ensure GM Aussie unit will continue to cars in the country - Australian press; + 0.1% after hours
-DFS: Reports Q4 $1.18 V $0. 94, R$ 1.84 b V $1. 8be; 0.8% after hours
-DMND: Indulgence with lenders; unites itself $0.045 Dividend payment breaks; -1.6% after hours
B. FX/fixed income / commodities.
-(Uns), there are concerns that the United States is running, the space for natural gas, record production and weak demand - push us financial
-(CN) China NDRC planning to improve the coal price system and look in coal futures trading
-(JP) Japan Finance Ministry official: Japan of one of the 20-year EFSF bonds do not buy
-(CN) China Ministry of industry and information technology: Jan gold Edition + 3.7% y/y 24.13 tons - Chinese press
-GLD: SPDR gold trust ETF daily operations fall 3.1 tonnes to 1,290.2 tonnes as Mar 20th (lowest since 1,284.6 on Feb 28 h)

Monday, February 13, 2012

Asian Market Update: Risk appetite creeps back into the markets on positive Greece news; Japan contracts

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- (JP) JAPAN Q4 PRELIMINARY GDP Q/Q: -0.6% V -0.3%E (biggest contraction since Q1); NOMINAL GDP Q/Q: -0.8% V -0.7%E; GDP ANNUALIZED: -2.3% V -1.3%E; 2011 GDP -0.9% (first decline in 2 years) >- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC HOME LOANS M/M: 2.3% V 1.8%E (7-month high); OWNER-OCCUPIED HOME LOAN VALUE: 2.0% V 2.4% PRIOR; INVESTMENT LENDING: 7.5% V 2.7% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN DEC TERTIARY INDUSTRY INDEX M/M: 1.4% V 0.8%E (6-month high)
- (IS) Israel Jan Trade Balance: -$2.2B v -$1.3B prior
***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.6%
- S&P/ASX +0.9%
- Kospi +0.7%
- Taiwan Taiex +0.6%
- Singapore Straits Times +0.3%
- Shanghai Composite +0.3%
- Hang Seng +0.8%
- S&P Futures +0.5% at 1,347
- April gold +0.3% at $1,730/oz
- March Crude +1.0% at $99.62
***Overview/Top Headlines***
- Markets started off the session tentative and mixed despite Greece's parliament passing the austerity measures in a vote of 199 in favor and 74 against with only a majority of 151 needed. EUR/USD extended its gains above $1.3240. All day Sunday Greeks ravaged the center of Athens, setting 10 buildings on fire as tens of thousands demonstrated ahead of the vote. Only after all markets were open did Asian equities all climb into strong positive territory. Shanghai remained under some pressure however due to January new yuan loans coming in weaker than anticipated and China Premier Wen's comments saying that the Govt may fine tune economic policy in Q1; Closely monitoring global conditions. He also affirmed to sticking to current policies to cool the housing market. Housing developers traded in Hong Kong and China fell on the news. USD/JPY declined , testing ¥77.55 after Q4 GDP contracted more than expected. Crude gained nearly 1% after Overseas Shipholding Group, Frontline and owners controlling more than 100 supertankers have announced they will not carry Iran crude. Copper and silver contracts both gained a half a percent in the session. Wheat and corn also saw a strong jump higher on the news that US farmers have hit a record high planting season on continued high prices. 10-yr Treasury notes were little changes in the session at 2%.
***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (CN) China govt calling for banks to rollover loans to local govts by as much as 4 years - FT
- (HK) Hong Kong Financial Sec Tsang: May see contraction in Q1 GDP if there is a slump in exports
- (GR) Greece PM Papademos: The vote will consolidate our place in the euro and avoids default, other option likely to take Greece out of the euro; Sees 2.5-3.0% GDP targets in 2014 and 2015
- (HK) According to Midland Realty over the weekend 60 real estate deals happened v 42 last weekend in the primary market - HK Standard
- (CN) PBoC may ease banks loan loss reserve requirements - China Business News
- (KR) Bank of Korea (BoK): Will keep accommodative policy stance to help protect Korea from EU debt crisis
- (JP) Japan Econ Min Furukawa: Japan economy as a whole is continuing upward trend; Expect to continue a moderate recovery trend but will keep an eye on downside risks
***Equities***
- ANZ.AU: Bank workers union: ANZ will be cutting a substantial number of jobs in addition to the 130 it announced last month - Australian press >- STEL.SG: Reports Q3 Net S$902M v S$922Me; Rev S$4.83B v $S4.70B y/y
- United Co. RUSAL PLC, 486.HK: Reports FY11 alumina production 8.2M tons, +4% y/y; Aluminium production 4.1M tons, +1% y/y
- JBH.AU: Reports H1 Net A$79.6M v A$87.9M y/y; Rev A$1.77B v A$1.7B y/y
- CBA.AU: Raises variable mortgage rate by 0.1% to 7.41%, cites higher wholesale funding costs
- NAB.AU: Raises variable mortgage rate by 0.09%
- LEI.AU: Reports H1 Net A$340M v A$216.7M y/y; Rev A$12.2B v A$9.7B y/y
***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (CN) PBoC has inquired regarding demand for repo sales - financial press
- (AU) Newcastle Coal Exports +16% v -18.0% prior in week ended Feb 13th

Friday, February 3, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian market update: markets still careful about the EU and Greece; Japan shows some improvement data



(JP) JAPAN Dec unemployment rate: 4.6% V 4.5%E (5-month high); CANDIDATES relationship: 0.71 v 0.70E
-(NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC BUILDING ALLOWS M/M: 2.1% V 8.0%E; 12.4% Of 2010 (lowest on the files 46 years) fell 2011 permits of 13.7 k
-(KR) South Korea DEC industrial production M/M: 0.9% V 1.1%E (3 in a row decline); Y/Y: 2.8% V 4.1%E; INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION PRODUCTION Y/Y: 2.9% V 6.1% BEFORE
-(JP) JAPAN DEC preliminary industrial production M/M: 4.0% V 3.0%E (7-month high); Y/Y: 4.1% V-5.0%E
-(JP) JAPAN DEC household spending Y/y: + 0.5% V-0.1%E (first increase since Aug 2010)
-(SG) SINGAPORE Q4 PROVISIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 2.0% V 2.1%E
-(JP) JAPAN DEC LOANS & DISCOUNTS CORP Y/Y: 0.0% V 0.4% BEFORE
-(AU) AUSTRALIA DEC NAB TERMS AND CONDITIONS: 1 V 1 BEFORE; Confidence: 3 V 2 prior (6-month-high)
-(SG) SINGAPORE DEC CREDIT CARD LIABILITIES (S$): 15.6 M V 13.2 M IN FRONT; BILLINGS: 3.5B EST V 3.2B BEFORE; BANK LOAN & PROGRESS Y/Y:30.3% V 30.5% BEFORE
-(NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC GELDMENGE M3 Y/Y: 6.0% V 6.5% BEFORE
-(AU) AUSTRALIA DEC PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT M/M: 0.3% V 0.3%E; Y/Y: 3.5% V 3.6%E
-(SG) SINGAPORE DEC GELDMENGE M1 Y/Y: 14.8% V 16.8% BEFORE; M2 Y/Y: 10.0% V 10.1% BEFORE
-(UK) UK JAN GFK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE SURVEY:-29 V 32E (7-month high)
-(AU) AUSTRALIA DEC RPDATA RISMARK HOUSE PX RAW: 1.2% V 0.0% BEFORE; RPDATA RISMARK PX: 0.2% V 0.4% BEFORE
-(JP) JAPAN JAN MARKIT/JMMA MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.7 v 50.2 prior (5-month high)
-(KR) SOUTH KOREA DEC LEADING INDEX Y/Y: 1.5% V 1.1% BEFORE
-(KR) SOUTH KOREA DEC SERVICE INDUSTRY OUTPUT Y / Y: 1.6% V 2.7% BEFORE
-(JP) JAPAN DEC VEHICLE PRODUCTION Y/Y: 13.4% V 4.5% BEFORE
-(JP) JAPAN DEC BAUBEGINNE Y/y: 7.3% V-1.5%E (4 in a row decline); CONSTRUCTION ORDERS Y/Y: 1.5% V 21.0% BEFORE
-(CO) Colombia Central Bank raises cash rate by 25 basis points to 5%; Not expected


B. market snapshot (as 05: 00GMT).
-Nikkei225 + 0.2%
-S & P/ASX 0.3 %
-Kospi + 0.1%
-Taiwan TAIEX + 0.6%
-Singapur Straits Times 0.3%
-Shanghai composite + 0.2%
-Hang Seng + 0.7%
S & P futures + 0.2% on 1.311
-Feb gold + 0.2% to $1.738 / oz
-März raw + 0.6% to $99.33


B. Overview/top headlines.
Markets were positive for most of the session but was on the road in the European open more mixed. At the EU Summit, Monday was to achieve more ground to a fiscal Union. EU said today Van Rompuy meets serves as stone for talks in March and June reinforced; Signed tax agreement at the March summit. A meeting after the Summit on Greece talk was announced, commented EU Juncker said after the meeting, there was no decision on Greece; The Greek Commissioner for the budget issue is off the table (was over the weekend by the proposed Germany). Greece PM Papademos said that in PSI, talks, made substantial progress an agreement on PSI parallel consultations on new loan packages want to achieve. We hope to conclude at the end of the talks with Trokia by the end of the week. This helped the EUR/USD fixed to handle test $1.32. Japan industrial production showed, a more than expected jump in December to 4.0%, while the unemployment rate to a 5-month-high ratio ticked applicant at 4.6%, job also has increased. Also his first increase showed expenditure in Japan since the tsunami and earthquake. USD/JPY fell to their lowest level since 2011 under ¥ 76,20 test intervention. South Korea President Lee said in a speech that take Government action must contain the inflation even at the expense of GDP. This strengthening against the greenback, KRW1, caused the Korean won 123 and the Kospi also test ticker above. Come you with the yesterday's announcement that not another term, focus now alternately would try RBNZ gov bollards, probably his will take place autumn. New Zealand PM sacked key questions in the face of change New Zealand man operation, say politics, that it was not even necessary is when the current system was working. NZD/USD gained almost 0.7% in the test $0.8240 session, one$ became even stronger in the session. Silver traded quietly on the other copper lost a few cents to $3.82, corn and wheat contracts, which both won.


** Speaker/geopolitical/in the press.
-(KR) South Korea financial supervisory service (FSS): striving for 5% household credit growth in 2012; Liquidity to the address in connection with Europe increase monitoring of foreign banks crisis
-Finanzministerium (UN) Viet Nam: State-owned companies at a lower cost by 5-10% reduction in product prices - financial press calls
Vessel (JP) IMF: Japan is seeking, gradually increase the tax on the fuel consumption by 15% by 2015; Debt to GDP by mid decade down must


B. shares.
-WOW.AU: Q2 Rev reports A$ 15.1 b V A$ 15. 1be; H1 Rev A$ 29 of information; + 5% y/y
-Samsung SDI, 006400.KR: Reports Q4 net KRW54. 9b V KRW81. 3B y/y; OP KRW11. 1B V KRW14. 7B y/y; Rev KRW1. 44T V KRW1. 2T y/y
-Mitsubishi Corp., 8058.JP: report 9-month net ¥ 370 phone-based V ¥ 359 information y/y, operating profit ¥ 232 are V ¥ 266 total annual turnover y/y, Rev. ¥ 15.17 t V ¥ 14.3 t-y/y
-HMC: Reports Q3 net ¥ 47 information V ¥ 69Be, operating profit of ¥ 44.3 (b) V ¥ 97Be, ¥ 1.94 t V ¥ 2. 11th Rev
-OLAM.SG: acquires 75% of Russia's Rusmolco for $75 M
-Hong Kong exchanges & clearing, 388.HK: start a Yuan-denominated gold ETF under 83168.HK - HK press
-AIR.NZ: withdraws Fyfe, CEO, effective to the end of 2012 - NZ press)
-Tepco, 9501.JP: Japan Govt to require that the company no prices of causes, as much as it plans - Japan press


** US stocks.
-HOLX: Q1 reports $0.34 V $0 32e, R$ 472.7 M V $466Me; + 7.1% after hours
-PCL: Reports Q4 $0,38 V $0 genn'e, R$ 315 M V $305Me; -2.9% after hours
-MCK: Q3 reports $1.40 (adj) V $1. proximity, R$ 30.8 b V $30. 1be; authorizes repurchase program for $650 M (3% of market capitalisation); Agreement to acquire companies Katz Group C Announces$ 920 m; + 3.6% after hours
-PRXL: Q2 reports $0.23 V $0, 23e, R$ 333.2 M V $334Me; + 10.4% after hours


B. FX/fixed income / commodities.
-(JP) Japan MoF sold ¥ 2.52 t in 0,1% (0.1% before) 2-yr JGB, bid to cover: 5.35 x v 4.22 x above (multi-month high)
-USD/JPY: (JP) 7 days$ BoJ financing operation has been tapped by banks for $1 Corp.
-(CN) PBoC Bill sales exposed (press speculation confirmed) - Chinese press
-(JP) Japan fin min Azumi: reiterates the steps be attention to currency if necessary; Attitude towards the yen remains the same

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Wednesday, February 1, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Japan sees first trade deficit in more


- (JP) JAPAN DEC MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE: -¥205B V -¥170BE; ADJUSTED TRADE BALANCE: -¥568B V -¥385BE (multi-year low); 2011 Trade deficit ¥2.49T (1st deficit since 1980)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CONSUMER PRICES Q/Q: 0.0% V 0.2%E (3-year low); Y/Y: 3.1% V 3.3%E
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 RBA TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 2.6% V 2.4%E
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC MANUFACTURING PMI 51.9 V 46.0 PRIOR (4-month high)
- (SG) SINGAPORE DEC CPI M/M: 0.0% V 0.1%E; Y/Y: 5.5% V 5.5%E
- (JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) JAN MONTHLY ECONOMIC REPORT: EXPORTS AND PRODUCTION TO STAY FLAT FOR THE TIME BEING
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC CREDIT CARD SPENDING M/M: 0.9% V -3.4% PRIOR; Y/Y: 5.9% V 3.2% PRIOR
- (PH) PHILIPPINES NOV TRADE BALANCE: -$1.6B V -$932M PRIOR; IMPORTS Y/Y: 0.6% V 2.3% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: -0.2% V +0.1% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC DEWR INTERNET SKILLED VACANCIES: -1.1% V -1.0% PRIOR (6th consecutive decline)


***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +1.2%
- S&P/ASX +1.1%
- Kospi +0.1%
- Taiwan Taiex closed
- Singapore Straits Times +0.9%
- Shanghai Composite closed
- Hang Seng closed
- S&P Futures +0.3 at 1,315
- Feb Gold +0.1% at $1,666/oz
- March Crude +0.1% at $99.04


***Overview/Top Headlines***
- US equity index futures and the open Asian equity indices all gained today. After the close Apple beat expectations, recording record sales of iPhones and iPads, this is sure to boost Taiwan names like Hon Hai (2317.TW) when the Taiex reopens; Korea's Hynix gained over 2% (will report this week). Tokyo stocks ended the morning session at a three-month high, as the USD/JPY tested a 4-week high above ¥77.85 and had similar movement against the euro. This encouraged investors to buy exporters on the back of Japan's 2011 trade deficit of ¥2.49T, the first in 31-years. Japan MoF Official attributed the decline in 2011 exports to the earthquake, strong yen and weak overseas demand. Traders are looking ahead to the FOMC meeting and rate decision. Australia 10-yr yield rose 8bps after the Q4 RBA trimmed mean (an inflation measure) came in ahead of estimates. Treasurer Swan assured the markets that underlying inflation had moderated and well contained in the RBA target. Q4 CPI in Australia was at a 3-year low q/q with a flat reading y/y also disappointed forecasts coming in at 3.1% v 3.3% expected. London copper tested a 4-month high, silver tested $32.24. Elsewhere business and political leaders are gathering in Davos Switzerland for their annual trek to the World Economic Forum.


***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (AU) Australian banking regulator (APRA) has been told by the IMF to conduct more stringent stress tests on its banks in order to make sure they could withstand another global financial crisis - The Australian
- (JP) Japan govt officials already considering raising consumption tax beyond the 10% proposed by PM Noda - Nikkei News
- (PH) Philippines Econ official: Sees Q4 GDP growth at 3.2-5.0% y/y; 2011 growth 3.6-4.0% y/y
- (AU) Commonwealth Bank chief currency strategist Grace: "There's no hindrance for the RBA to cut rates from an inflation point of view because inflation is coming down" - SMH


***Equities***
- TM: Reports 2011 global sales 7.95M units; Raises FY12/13 Japan sales forecast to 1.63M units from 1.53M prior, +36% y/y
- WHC.AU: Reports Dec quarter production 1.11MT v 1.09MT y/y
- PBG.AU: Talks with KKR are continuing but still in very early stages; Institutional investors expressing some doubts that KKR is serious - The Australian
- Yahoo Japan, 4689.JP: Reports 9-month Net ¥73B v ¥67.8B y/y, Op Profit ¥121B v ¥117.2B y/y, Rev ¥222B v ¥216.6B y/y


***US Equities***
- CA: Reports Q3 $0.65 v $0.54e, R$1.26B v $1.2Be; increases share buyback program to $1.5B (13% of market cap); discloses increased quarterly dividend to $0.25/shr from $0.05/shr; +15% afterhours
- AAPL: Reports Q1 $13.87 v $10.10e, R$46.33B v $39Be; +7.3% afterhours
- STLD: Reports Q4 $0.14 v $0.11e, R$1.86B v $1.9Be; +1.9% afterhours
- YHOO: Reports Q4 $0.25 v $0.24e, R$1.17B (ex-TAC) v $1.2Be; -0.9% afterhours
- NSC: Reports Q4 $1.42 v $1.40e, R$2.80B v $2.8Be; -2.6% afterhours
- ALTR: Reports Q4 $0.45 v $0.42e, R$458M v $448Me; -1.7% afterhours
- AMD: Reports Q4 $0.19 v $0.16e, R$1.69B v $1.7Be; -2.9% afterhours
- NVDA: Lowers Q4 Rev guidance to $950M +/- 1% v $1.06Be (Nov 10th guided Rev -2 to +2% q/q, implies $1.05-1.09B); -4.0% afterhours


***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (JP) Japan Steel Body: Expects 2012 crude steel output to decline y/y by 2-3M tons on weak domestic demand, exports (implies 104.6-105.6M tons vs. 107.6M y/y)
- (KR) South Korea Govt sells KRW908B in 20-yr bonds at 3.96% v 3.94% on Aug 21st

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TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Markets continue to be wary over EU and Greece; Japan data shows some improvement


(JP) JAPAN DEC JOBLESS RATE: 4.6% V 4.5%E (5-month high); JOB-TO-APPLICANT RATIO: 0.71 V 0.70E
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC BUILDING PERMITS M/M: 2.1% V 8.0%E; 2011 permits of 13.7K fell 12.4% from 2010 (lowest on record of 46 years)
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA DEC INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -0.9% V 1.1%E (3rd consecutive decline); Y/Y: 2.8% V 4.1%E; INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION MANUFACTURING Y/Y: 2.9% V 6.1% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN DEC PRELIMINARY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: 4.0% V 3.0%E (7-month high); Y/Y: -4.1% V -5.0%E
- (JP) JAPAN DEC OVERALL HOUSEHOLD SPENDING Y/Y: +0.5% V -0.1%E (First increase since Aug 2010)
- (SG) SINGAPORE Q4 PRELIMINARY UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 2.0% V 2.1%E
- (JP) JAPAN DEC LOANS & DISCOUNTS CORP Y/Y: 0.0% V -0.4% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC NAB BUSINESS CONDITIONS: 1 V 1 PRIOR; CONFIDENCE: 3 V 2 PRIOR (6-month high)
- (SG) SINGAPORE DEC CREDIT CARD BAD DEBTS (S$): 15.6M V 13.2M PRIOR; BILLINGS: 3.5B EST V 3.2B PRIOR; BANK LOANS & ADVANCES Y/Y:30.3% V 30.5% PRIOR
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC MONEY SUPPLY M3 Y/Y: 6.0% V 6.5% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC PRIVATE SECTOR CREDIT M/M: 0.3% V 0.3%E; Y/Y: 3.5% V 3.6%E
- (SG) SINGAPORE DEC MONEY SUPPLY M1 Y/Y: 14.8% V 16.8% PRIOR; M2 Y/Y: 10.0% V 10.1% PRIOR
- (UK) UK JAN GFK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE SURVEY: -29 V -32E (7-month high)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC RPDATA-RISMARK HOUSE PX RAW: -1.2% V 0.0% PRIOR; RPDATA-RISMARK PX: -0.2% V 0.4% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN JAN MARKIT/JMMA MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.7 V 50.2 PRIOR (5-month high)
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA DEC LEADING INDEX Y/Y: 1.5% V 1.1% PRIOR
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA DEC SERVICE INDUSTRY OUTPUT Y/Y: 1.6% V 2.7% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN DEC VEHICLE PRODUCTION Y/Y: 13.4% V 4.5% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN DEC HOUSING STARTS Y/Y: -7.3% V -1.5%E (4th consecutive decline); CONSTRUCTION ORDERS Y/Y: 1.5% V 21.0% PRIOR
- (CO) Colombia Central Bank raises Overnight Lending Rate by 25bps to 5%; Not expected


***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:00GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.2%
- S&P/ASX -0.3%
- Kospi +0.1%
- Taiwan Taiex +0.6%
- Singapore Straits Times -0.3%
- Shanghai Composite +0.2%
- Hang Seng +0.7%
- S&P Futures +0.2% at 1,311
- Feb Gold +0.2% at $1,738/oz
- March Crude +0.6% at $99.33


***Overview/Top Headlines***
- Markets were positive for most of the session but became more mixed heading into the European open. At the EU Summit Monday, more ground was made towards reaching a fiscal union. EU's Van Rompuy said today's meeting serves as stepping stone for talks in March and June; Fiscal accord to be signed at March summit. A meeting after the summit to talk about Greece was announced, EU's Juncker commented after the meeting saying there was no decision on Greece; Issue of Greek budget commissioner is off the table (was proposed over the weekend by Germany). Greece PM Papademos said that significant progress has been made in PSI talks; seeking to reach an accord on PSI in parallel with consultations on new loan packages. Hope to conclude end of talks with Trokia by the end of the week. This helped the EUR/USD to firm up testing the $1.32 handle. Japan Industrial production showed a more than expected jump in December to 4.0%, while the jobless rate ticked up to a 5-month high at 4.6%, job to applicant ratio also rose. Household spending in Japan also showed its first increase since the tsunami and earthquake. USD/JPY fell to its lowest level since 2011 intervention testing below ¥76.20. South Korea President Lee in a speech said that the government needs to take steps to contain inflation even at the expense of GDP. This caused the Korean won to strengthen against the greenback, testing KRW1,123 and the Kospi also ticker higher. With yesterday's announcement that RBNZ Gov Bollard would not seek another term, focus now turns to who will likely take his place come Autumn. New Zealand PM Key dismissed questions about considering changing New Zealand's one man policy making operations, saying it was not even being considered as the current system was working. NZD/USD gained nearly 0.7% in the session testing $0.8240, A$ was also stronger in the session. Silver traded quietly to the upside, copper lost a few cents to $3.82, corn and wheat contracts both gained.


***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (KR) South Korea Financial Supervisory Service (FSS): Aiming for 5% household loan growth in 2012; To boost supervision of banks' foreign liquidity to address Europe-related crisis
- (VN) Vietnam Finance Ministry: Calls for state companies to lower costs by 5-10% so as to reduce product prices - financial press
- (JP) IMF's Schiff: Japan is aiming to raise consumption tax to 15% gradually after 2015; Needs to get debt to GDP ratio down by mid-decade


***Equities***
- WOW.AU: Reports Q2 Rev A$15.1B v A$15.1Be; H1 Rev A$29.7B; +5% y/y
- Samsung SDI, 006400.KR: Reports Q4 Net KRW54.9B v KRW81.3B y/y; Op KRW11.1B v KRW14.7B y/y; Rev KRW1.44T v KRW1.2T y/y
- Mitsubishi Corp, 8058.JP: Reports 9-month Net ¥370.2B v ¥359.7B y/y, Op Profit ¥232.9B v ¥266.5B y/y, Rev ¥15.17T v ¥14.3T y/y
- HMC: Reports Q3 Net ¥47.7B v ¥69Be, Op Profit ¥44.3B v ¥97Be, Rev ¥1.94T v ¥2.11Te
- OLAM.SG: To acquire 75% stake in Russia's Rusmolco for $75M
- Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing, 388.HK: Will launch a yuan denominated ETF for gold under 83168.HK - HK press
- AIR.NZ: CEO Fyfe resigns, effective around the end of 2012 - NZ press (
- Tepco, 9501.JP: Japan govt to request that the company does not raise rates by as much as it plans to - Japan press


***US Equities***
- HOLX: Reports Q1 $0.34 v $0.32e, R$472.7M v $466Me; +7.1% after hours
- PCL: Reports Q4 $0.38 v $0.39e, R$315M v $305Me; -2.9% after hours
- MCK: Reports Q3 $1.40 (adj) v $1.37e, R$30.8B v $30.1Be; authorizes $650M buyback program (3% of market cap); Announces agreement to acquire businesses of Katz Group for C$920M; +3.6% after hours
- PRXL: Reports Q2 $0.23 v $0.23e, R$333.2M v $334Me; +10.4% after hours


***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥2.52T in 0.1% (0.1% prior) 2-yr JGBs, bid to cover: 5.35x v 4.22x prior (multi-month high)
- USD/JPY: (JP) BoJ's 7-day US dollar funding operation was tapped by banks for $1.6B
- (CN) PBoC has suspended bill sales (confirms press speculation) - Chinese press
- (JP) Japan Fin Min Azumi: Reiterates that steps will be taken on currency if needed, closely watching; Stance on the yen remains the same

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TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Greek PSI offer rejected, Japan fiscal and economic outlook cloudy, IMF to Aussie banks - raise your capital

- (JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) LEAVES TARGET RATE RANGE UNCHANGED BETWEEN 0.0% TO 0.10% AS EXPECTED; LOWERS GDP FORECASTS AND ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT (3rd consecutive cut)
- North America Semi Equipment Industry DEC Sales book to bill ratio: 0.88 v 0.83 (3rd consecutive monthly increase)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING INDEX: -0.3% V 0.5% PRIOR (5-month low)
- (IN) INDIA CENTRAL BANK (RBI) CUTS CASH RESERVE RATIO (CRR) BY 50BPS to 5.50% (not expected); LEAVES REPO RATE UNCHANGED AT 8.50%, AS EXPECTED


***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.2%
- S&P/ASX unchanged
- Kospi closed
- Taiwan Taiex closed
- Singapore Straits Times Index closed
- Shanghai Composite closed
- Hang Seng closed
- S&P Futures -0.3 at 1,307
- Feb Gold -0.2% at $1,674/oz
- March Crude +0.2% at $99.81


***Overview/Top Headlines***
- For the second consecutive day only Australia and Japan were open due to the New Year's celebrations, equities markets were decidedly more positive today with hopes that a resolution may be reached for Greece. EU's Juncker said that the PSI must achieve 120% debt to GDP target in 2020 and that the Greek program is off track, action needs to be taken before there is a new program. Ministers rejected an offer out of the PSI, made from the private bondholders on how to restructure Greek debt, ministers said to be pushing the group to agree to receive less than 4% on the restructured debt.


- EU Fin Mins also talked about stronger budget rules for EU members and got a few steps closer on finalizing the structure for the permanent EU bailout fund. France Fin Min Baroin said that there was good progress made on the ESM treaty, expects it to be signed Jan 30th. Agreement said to say the ESM can make loans without unanimous govt backing and will only require support of 85% of eurozone governments.


- EUR/USD came off its 3 week high, staying mostly unchanged for the Asian session. AUD/USD lost 30 pips to $1.0493. The other major currencies were little changed. Brent crude held around $110.60 as Iran sanctions are agreed upon around the globe including the EU. US Treasury yields helped to push Japan's 10-yr JGB yield to 1%, the highest level since mid-Dec.


- As expected the Bank of Japan left its target rate unchanged. It cut its economic assessment for the 3rd consecutive time, saying "economic activity has been more or less flat, mainly due to effects of slowdown in overseas economy and appreciation of JPY." The BoJ as promised, also updated GDP forecasts cutting FY11/12 to -0.4% from +0.3% and FY12/13 to +2% from +2.2% and raising FY13/14. CPI forecast for FY11/12 was cut to -0.1% from 0.0% prior, other years were confirmed. Also, Japan Cabinet Office guides FY15 primary deficit of 3.6% of GDP; Will miss budget surplus in FY20 even with 10% sales tax, deficit will be 3.1% of GDP. This puts Japan's sovereign rating in danger of a downgrade, outlook is already negative.


- Even though the IMF report on Australia is not expected until June, the IMF has instructed Australia's biggest banks to increase their capital. IMF said that the banks may not be able to withstand dual shock of residential property downturn and losses on corporate lending. The IMF noted the main vulnerabilities of the Australian banking sector was their exposure to highly indebted households through residential mortgage lending, together with their large levels of short-term offshore borrowing.


***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (JP) Japan Econ Min Furukawa: Declining trade surplus in Japan confirms that domestic industry is being hollowed out; Japan to face further trade deficit if JPY remains strong - Nikkei News
- (CN) China Central Bank (PBoC) Gov Zhou: Chinese companies need to rely less on S&P, Fitch and Moody's for credit assessments and do more of their own due diligence - China Newsweek
- (AU) Australia Manufacturing Min Carr rejects suggestions that car subsidies should be wound back, calling the industry a foundation stone ton Australia manufacturing - The Australian
- (PT) US Financial press comments that a growing number of analysts, economists and politicians worry that Portugal will need a second bailout in 2013 when it has €9B in debt coming due


***Equities***
- LYC.AU: Announces new cornerstone investor; Raising $225M through convertible bond issuance
- 9501.JP: Nippon Life Insurance Co., Dai-ichi Life Insurance Co, and two other insurers may offer TEPCO ¥100B in syndicated loans as early as April - Nikkei News
- NCM.AU: Reports Q2 gold output 579K vs 587.3K q/q, -20% y/y; Copper 18.2K tons vs 19.2K q/q


***US Equities***
- VMW: Reports Q4 $0.62 v $0.60e, R$1.06B v $1.0Be; Guides initial FY12 Rev $4.48-4.6B v $4.5Be; +4.7% afterhours
- TXN: Reports Q4 $0.25 (incl $0.23 in charges) v $0.39e, R$3.42B v $3.3Be; CFO: Saw a resumption of demand across a broad range of products in the quarter; +3.6% afterhours
- STM: Reports Q4 -$0.01 v -$0.03e, R$2.19B v $2.2Be; Guides Q1 Rev -10% to -4% q/q (implies $1.97-2.10B v $2.1Be); +1.9% afterhours
- WDC: Reports Q2 $1.51(adj) v $0.71e, R$1.99B v $1.8Be; Guides Q3 $1.15-1.45 (ex items) v $0.91e, R$2.0-2.15B v $2.0Be; +5.2% afterhours
- PLCM: Reports Q4 $0.41 v $0.29e, R$407.0M v $401Me; +14.0% afterhours
- CSX: Reports Q4 $0.43 v $0.44e, R$2.95B v $3.0Be; -3.0% afterhours
- CR: Reports Q4 $0.88 v $0.90e, R$632M v $650Me; Guides initial FY12 $3.75-3.95 v $3.86e, Rev +5-6% (implies $2.67-2.70B v
$2.7Be); -0.2% afterhours


***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (CN) China Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM): Domestic pork prices +3.0% in Jan 11th-20th period - financial press
- FCG.NZ: New Zealand Commerce Commission announces plans for annual monitoring of milk prices in New Zealand - Dominion Post
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall by 5.2 tons to 1,250.5 tons (lowest since 1,245.1 on Nov 11th)

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Monday, January 30, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Griechisch PSI Angebot abgelehnt, Japan Fiskal- und Wirtschaftspolitik Outlook bewölkt, IWF, Aussie Banken - erhöhen Ihr Kapital




-(JP) BANK of JAPAN (BOJ) leaves RATE ZIELBAND unaltered between 0.0% to 0.10% as expected; LOWERS GDP forecasts and economic evaluation (3 consecutive cut)
-Nordamerika semi equipment industry DEC sale book to bill ratio: 0.88 v 0.83 (3 consecutive monthly increase)
-(AU) Australia NOV INDEX leading CONFERENCE BOARD: 0.3% V 0.5% prior (5-month low)
-(IN) of the Central Bank of India (RBI) cuts CASH RESERVE set (CRR) by 50 basis points to 5.50% (not expected); LEAVES REPO RATE UNCHANGED AT 8.50%, AS EXPECTED
* Market snapshot (as 05: 30GMT) *.
-Nikkei225 + 0.2%
S & P/ASX unchanged
-Kospi closed
-Taiwan closed TAIEX
-Singapur Straits Times Index closed
-Shanghai composite closed
-Hang Seng closed
S & P futures 0.3 in 1.307
-Feb gold 0.2% to $1.674 / oz
-März raw + 0.2% at $99,81
* Overview/top headlines *.
-For the second consecutive day, celebrating only in Australia and Japan as a result of the new year were opened, were stock markets significantly more positive today with the hope that a resolution for Greece can be reached. EU Juncker said that the PSI has to reach 120% debt/GDP target in 2020 and the Greek program off course, action must be run before there is a new program. Minister declined a proposal by PSI, made from the private bondholders to the Greek debt restructure, to reconcile Ministers for the group, less than 4% of press received it for the restructured debt.
-EU fin min also members of the EU stronger budgetary rules favour and bailout funds got the structure for the permanent EU steps closer at the end. France fin min Baroin said that it expected good progress in the ESM agreement signed Jan 30th. Agreement under say the ESM can secure loans without unanimous Govt and need only 85% of the euro-zone Governments.
EUR / USD came from his 3 weeks remain high, especially for the Asian session unchanged. AUD/USD lost 30 points to $1.0493. The other major currencies were little changed. Brent crude oil was around $110.60 as Iran sanctions around the globe, including the EU be agreed. U.S. Treasury yields contributed to press Japan 10-yr JGB yield 1%, its highest level since mid Dec.
How expected the Bank of Japan left unchanged the target data rate. Times its economic assessment for the third consecutive say cutting "Economic activity more or less flat, was overseas and appreciation of the yen mainly due to the impact of the economic slowdown." The BoJ as promised, also updated forecasts GDP cut FY11/12-0.4% from 0.3% to FY12/13, + 2% of 2.2% and increase the FY13 / 14. CPI forecast for FY11/12 on - 0, 1 was cut % 0.0%, other years have been confirmed. Japan Cabinet Office leads also FY15 primary deficit of 3.6% of GDP; Miss budget surplus in FY20 with 10% VAT, 3.1% of GDP deficit. This is Japan's sovereign note in danger, a downgrade, Outlook already negative.
-Although the report of the IMF Australia is expected not until June, has the IMF of Australia's largest banks increase dependent on their capital. IMF, said that the banks not dual shock residential property downturn and losses on loans of companies able to withstand. The IMF found the main vulnerabilities of the Australian banking sector their exposure to highly indebted households was loans, along with their Great Plains short-term borrowing, the offshore by mortgage loans.
* Speakers/geopolitical/in the press *.
-(JP) Japan Econ min Furukawa: falling trade surplus in Japan confirms that the domestic industry; is being eroded is Japan next trade deficit face when JPY remains strong - Nikkei news
-(CN) Central Bank of China (PBoC) gov Zhou: Chinese businesses rely less on S & P, Fitch and Moody's credit ratings and more their own due diligence – China Newsweek must do for
-(AU) Australia manufacturing min Carr rejects suggestions that car subsidies that are coiled should call the industry a cornerstone sound Australia production - the Australian
-(PT) US financial press which are a growing number of analysts, economists and politicians worried that Portugal need a second rescue mission in 2013 if she has €9B debt due
* Shares *.
-LYC.AU: Announces new cornerstone investor; Increase in $225 M through the issue of convertible bonds
-9501.JP: Nippon life insurance co., Dai-Ichi Seimei life insurance and two other insurers provide TEPCO ¥ 100 (b) syndicated loan already in April - Nikkei news
-NCM.AU: Q2 reports gold issue 579 K vs 587.3 K Q/Q, -20% y/y; Copper 18.2 K tons vs. 19.2 K Q/q
* US shares *.
-VMW: Q4 reports $0.62 V $0. 60s, R$ 1.06 b V $1. 0be; Leader first FY12 Rev $4.48 - release 4.6B V $4. 5be; + 4.7% afterhours
-TXN: Q4 reports $0.25 (incl. $0.23 fees) V $0 genn'e, R$ 3.42 b V $3. 3be; CFO: a recovery of in demand in a wide range of products SAH in the quarter; + 3.6% afterhours
-STM: Q4-V reports $0.01-$ 0 03e, R$ 2.19 b V $2. 2be; Q1 Rev-10% results in up to 4% Q/Q (implies V $2. 1be) $1.97-2.10B; + 1.9% afterhours
-WDC: Reports Q2 $1.51(adj) V $0. 71e, R$ 1.99 b V $1. 8be. Q3 $1. 15-1, 45 (ex items) V $0 91e, R$ 2.0 - leads 2.15B V $2. 0be; + 5.2% afterhours
-PLCM: Q4 reports $0.41 V $0 29e, R$ 407.0 M V $401Me; + 14.0% afterhours
-CSX: Q4 reports $0.43 V $0 44e, R$ 2.95 b V $3. 0be; -3.0% afterhours
-CR: Q4 reports $0.88 V $0 90e, R$ 632 M V $650Me; Leader first FY12 $3, 75-3.95 V $3. 86, Rev + 5-6% (implies $2.67 - 2.70B v)
$2. 7be); 0.2% Afterhours
* FX/fixed income / commodities *.
-(CN) China Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM): domestic pork prices + 3.0% in Jan 11-20 period - financial press
-FCG.New Zealand: New Zealand Commerce Commission announces plans for annual monitoring of the milk prices in New Zealand - Dominion Post
-GLD: Gold trust ETF daily holdings fall SPDR by 5.2 tonnes to 1,250.5 tonnes (lowest since 1,245.1 on Nov 11th)


TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Japan sees first trade deficit in more



- (JP) JAPAN DEC MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE: -¥205B V -¥170BE; ADJUSTED TRADE BALANCE: -¥568B V -¥385BE (multi-year low); 2011 Trade deficit ¥2.49T (1st deficit since 1980)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CONSUMER PRICES Q/Q: 0.0% V 0.2%E (3-year low); Y/Y: 3.1% V 3.3%E
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 RBA TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 2.6% V 2.4%E
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC MANUFACTURING PMI 51.9 V 46.0 PRIOR (4-month high)
- (SG) SINGAPORE DEC CPI M/M: 0.0% V 0.1%E; Y/Y: 5.5% V 5.5%E
- (JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) JAN MONTHLY ECONOMIC REPORT: EXPORTS AND PRODUCTION TO STAY FLAT FOR THE TIME BEING
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC CREDIT CARD SPENDING M/M: 0.9% V -3.4% PRIOR; Y/Y: 5.9% V 3.2% PRIOR
- (PH) PHILIPPINES NOV TRADE BALANCE: -$1.6B V -$932M PRIOR; IMPORTS Y/Y: 0.6% V 2.3% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: -0.2% V +0.1% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC DEWR INTERNET SKILLED VACANCIES: -1.1% V -1.0% PRIOR (6th consecutive decline)
***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +1.2%
- S&P/ASX +1.1%
- Kospi +0.1%
- Taiwan Taiex closed
- Singapore Straits Times +0.9%
- Shanghai Composite closed
- Hang Seng closed
- S&P Futures +0.3 at 1,315
- Feb Gold +0.1% at $1,666/oz
- March Crude +0.1% at $99.04
***Overview/Top Headlines***
- US equity index futures and the open Asian equity indices all gained today. After the close Apple beat expectations, recording record sales of iPhones and iPads, this is sure to boost Taiwan names like Hon Hai (2317.TW) when the Taiex reopens; Korea's Hynix gained over 2% (will report this week). Tokyo stocks ended the morning session at a three-month high, as the USD/JPY tested a 4-week high above ¥77.85 and had similar movement against the euro. This encouraged investors to buy exporters on the back of Japan's 2011 trade deficit of ¥2.49T, the first in 31-years. Japan MoF Official attributed the decline in 2011 exports to the earthquake, strong yen and weak overseas demand. Traders are looking ahead to the FOMC meeting and rate decision. Australia 10-yr yield rose 8bps after the Q4 RBA trimmed mean (an inflation measure) came in ahead of estimates. Treasurer Swan assured the markets that underlying inflation had moderated and well contained in the RBA target. Q4 CPI in Australia was at a 3-year low q/q with a flat reading y/y also disappointed forecasts coming in at 3.1% v 3.3% expected. London copper tested a 4-month high, silver tested $32.24. Elsewhere business and political leaders are gathering in Davos Switzerland for their annual trek to the World Economic Forum.
***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (AU) Australian banking regulator (APRA) has been told by the IMF to conduct more stringent stress tests on its banks in order to make sure they could withstand another global financial crisis - The Australian
- (JP) Japan govt officials already considering raising consumption tax beyond the 10% proposed by PM Noda - Nikkei News
- (PH) Philippines Econ official: Sees Q4 GDP growth at 3.2-5.0% y/y; 2011 growth 3.6-4.0% y/y
- (AU) Commonwealth Bank chief currency strategist Grace: "There's no hindrance for the RBA to cut rates from an inflation point of view because inflation is coming down" - SMH
***Equities***
- TM: Reports 2011 global sales 7.95M units; Raises FY12/13 Japan sales forecast to 1.63M units from 1.53M prior, +36% y/y
- WHC.AU: Reports Dec quarter production 1.11MT v 1.09MT y/y
- PBG.AU: Talks with KKR are continuing but still in very early stages; Institutional investors expressing some doubts that KKR is serious - The Australian
- Yahoo Japan, 4689.JP: Reports 9-month Net ¥73B v ¥67.8B y/y, Op Profit ¥121B v ¥117.2B y/y, Rev ¥222B v ¥216.6B y/y
***US Equities***
- CA: Reports Q3 $0.65 v $0.54e, R$1.26B v $1.2Be; increases share buyback program to $1.5B (13% of market cap); discloses increased quarterly dividend to $0.25/shr from $0.05/shr; +15% afterhours
- AAPL: Reports Q1 $13.87 v $10.10e, R$46.33B v $39Be; +7.3% afterhours
- STLD: Reports Q4 $0.14 v $0.11e, R$1.86B v $1.9Be; +1.9% afterhours
- YHOO: Reports Q4 $0.25 v $0.24e, R$1.17B (ex-TAC) v $1.2Be; -0.9% afterhours
- NSC: Reports Q4 $1.42 v $1.40e, R$2.80B v $2.8Be; -2.6% afterhours
- ALTR: Reports Q4 $0.45 v $0.42e, R$458M v $448Me; -1.7% afterhours
- AMD: Reports Q4 $0.19 v $0.16e, R$1.69B v $1.7Be; -2.9% afterhours
- NVDA: Lowers Q4 Rev guidance to $950M +/- 1% v $1.06Be (Nov 10th guided Rev -2 to +2% q/q, implies $1.05-1.09B); -4.0% afterhours
***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (JP) Japan Steel Body: Expects 2012 crude steel output to decline y/y by 2-3M tons on weak domestic demand, exports (implies 104.6-105.6M tons vs. 107.6M y/y)
- (KR) South Korea Govt sells KRW908B in 20-yr bonds at 3.96% v 3.94% on Aug 21st

Sunday, January 29, 2012

FOREX NEWS - Yen at 1-mo lows as Japan posts rare trade deficit

* Dollar, euro at one-month highs vs yen
* Macro funds seen selling yen as Japan logs first deficit since 1980
* Euro lower vs dollar as Greek worries offset strong German IFO data
By Anirban Nag
LONDON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The yen dropped to one-month lows against the dollar and the euro on Wednesday, as speculators and investors took data showing Japan had logged its first annual trade deficit since 1980 as a cue to unwind bullish bets on the Japanese currency.
The euro briefly rose to a session high against the dollar after a strong German business sentiment survey offered fresh evidence that Europe's largest economy may skirt a recession.
The focus is now shifting to the Federal Reserve, which is expected to begin a new practice of announcing individual policymakers' interest rate projections when its two-day meeting ends later on Wednesday.
Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. central bank will signal that it is unlikely to start hiking interest rates until the first half of 2014, more than five years after chopping them to near zero. Any surprise on the dovish side could see the dollar come under pressure against the euro and the yen, analysts said.
"U.S. yields have pushed up in recent days and if data there continues to improve we would see the dollar supported," said Geoff Kendrick, currency strategist at Nomura.
"But the risk is the Fed could be more dovish than what the market is expecting, in which case you might see the dollar pull back. In any case, I do not see the dollar rising to 80 yen."
The dollar reached as high as 78.14 yen on trading platform EBS, its highest level since late December. Selling in the yen picked up after Japan logged an annual trade deficit in 2011 for the first time in over 30 years.
Traders cited robust offers from Japanese exporters from 78 yen up to 79 yen although many expect selling in the currency to gather pace on steady unwinding of yen long positions placed by speculators, with model and macro funds also keen to sell.
In the options market, dollar/yen one-month risk reversals moved to 0.8 in favour of dollar calls, around the strongest dollar bias since 2003 and indicating some more gains for the greenback. Implied vols ticked higher but remained subdued at around 8 percent for the one-month.
Lee Hardman, currency economist at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ was sceptical that the trade deficit would have a lasting impact on the yen.
"With Japan running a sizeable and more stable investment income surplus totalling close to 15 trillion yen in the twelve months to November 2011 its current account balance has remained firmly in surplus," he said. "Recent yen weakness is more likely corrective than a trend reversal. The Fed's commitment to maintain low rates will help cap dollar/yen upside potential."
Chartists said the dollar would have to battle a wall of resistance posed by the 200-day moving average at 78.35 yen and the 61.8 percent retracement of the October-January fall at 78.31 yen.
GREECE JITTERS WEIGH
The broad weakness in the yen lifted the euro to a four-week peak of 101.88 yen. It was last trading at 101.50 yen, still up 0.3 percent on the day and well above its 11-year low of 97.04 struck on Jan. 16.
Many Japanese exporters set their euro rate targets at 105 yen, so the pair would run into heavy selling pressure ahead of that level, traders said.
The euro gave up gains against the dollar made immediately after the German Ifo survey as growing worries that the European Central Bank would have to write down its holdings of Greek debt, crimping its ability to purchase other periphery debt, drove Italian yields higher.
"Uncertainty over the Greek debt talks and disappointment that there has still been no deal is spoiling the party for the euro," said Audrey Childe-Freeman, EMEA head of currency strategy at JP Morgan Private Bank.
"So despite the good IFO numbers, the euro is not able to break past $1.3080 which is a good resistance level."
The single currency was last trading at $1.2990, off a session high of $1.3052 struck immediately after the German IFO survey was released and 0.2 percent lower on the day. It struck a three-week peak of $1.3063 on Tuesday, with decent resistance seen in the $1.3075-1.3080 area - highs struck earlier this month and in late December.
The common currency has been supported reasonably well against the dollar in recent sessions, benefitting from a squeeze in extreme short positions. A decline in funding costs for Spain and Italy and recent data that have showed a surprising strength in manufacturing and services this month have also lent support.
Portugal also eased market jitters after its prime minister said the country was not seeking to renegotiate or extend its 78 billion euro bailout package.

Saturday, January 28, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Greek PSI offer rejected, Japan fiscal and economic outlook cloudy, IMF to Aussie banks - raise your capital



- (JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) LEAVES TARGET RATE RANGE UNCHANGED BETWEEN 0.0% TO 0.10% AS EXPECTED; LOWERS GDP FORECASTS AND ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT (3rd consecutive cut)
- North America Semi Equipment Industry DEC Sales book to bill ratio: 0.88 v 0.83 (3rd consecutive monthly increase)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING INDEX: -0.3% V 0.5% PRIOR (5-month low)
- (IN) INDIA CENTRAL BANK (RBI) CUTS CASH RESERVE RATIO (CRR) BY 50BPS to 5.50% (not expected); LEAVES REPO RATE UNCHANGED AT 8.50%, AS EXPECTED
***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.2%
- S&P/ASX unchanged
- Kospi closed
- Taiwan Taiex closed
- Singapore Straits Times Index closed
- Shanghai Composite closed
- Hang Seng closed
- S&P Futures -0.3 at 1,307
- Feb Gold -0.2% at $1,674/oz
- March Crude +0.2% at $99.81
***Overview/Top Headlines***
- For the second consecutive day only Australia and Japan were open due to the New Year's celebrations, equities markets were decidedly more positive today with hopes that a resolution may be reached for Greece. EU's Juncker said that the PSI must achieve 120% debt to GDP target in 2020 and that the Greek program is off track, action needs to be taken before there is a new program. Ministers rejected an offer out of the PSI, made from the private bondholders on how to restructure Greek debt, ministers said to be pushing the group to agree to receive less than 4% on the restructured debt.
- EU Fin Mins also talked about stronger budget rules for EU members and got a few steps closer on finalizing the structure for the permanent EU bailout fund. France Fin Min Baroin said that there was good progress made on the ESM treaty, expects it to be signed Jan 30th. Agreement said to say the ESM can make loans without unanimous govt backing and will only require support of 85% of eurozone governments.
- EUR/USD came off its 3 week high, staying mostly unchanged for the Asian session. AUD/USD lost 30 pips to $1.0493. The other major currencies were little changed. Brent crude held around $110.60 as Iran sanctions are agreed upon around the globe including the EU. US Treasury yields helped to push Japan's 10-yr JGB yield to 1%, the highest level since mid-Dec.
- As expected the Bank of Japan left its target rate unchanged. It cut its economic assessment for the 3rd consecutive time, saying "economic activity has been more or less flat, mainly due to effects of slowdown in overseas economy and appreciation of JPY." The BoJ as promised, also updated GDP forecasts cutting FY11/12 to -0.4% from +0.3% and FY12/13 to +2% from +2.2% and raising FY13/14. CPI forecast for FY11/12 was cut to -0.1% from 0.0% prior, other years were confirmed. Also, Japan Cabinet Office guides FY15 primary deficit of 3.6% of GDP; Will miss budget surplus in FY20 even with 10% sales tax, deficit will be 3.1% of GDP. This puts Japan's sovereign rating in danger of a downgrade, outlook is already negative.
- Even though the IMF report on Australia is not expected until June, the IMF has instructed Australia's biggest banks to increase their capital. IMF said that the banks may not be able to withstand dual shock of residential property downturn and losses on corporate lending. The IMF noted the main vulnerabilities of the Australian banking sector was their exposure to highly indebted households through residential mortgage lending, together with their large levels of short-term offshore borrowing.
***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (JP) Japan Econ Min Furukawa: Declining trade surplus in Japan confirms that domestic industry is being hollowed out; Japan to face further trade deficit if JPY remains strong - Nikkei News
- (CN) China Central Bank (PBoC) Gov Zhou: Chinese companies need to rely less on S&P, Fitch and Moody's for credit assessments and do more of their own due diligence - China Newsweek
- (AU) Australia Manufacturing Min Carr rejects suggestions that car subsidies should be wound back, calling the industry a foundation stone ton Australia manufacturing - The Australian
- (PT) US Financial press comments that a growing number of analysts, economists and politicians worry that Portugal will need a second bailout in 2013 when it has €9B in debt coming due
***Equities***
- LYC.AU: Announces new cornerstone investor; Raising $225M through convertible bond issuance
- 9501.JP: Nippon Life Insurance Co., Dai-ichi Life Insurance Co, and two other insurers may offer TEPCO ¥100B in syndicated loans as early as April - Nikkei News
- NCM.AU: Reports Q2 gold output 579K vs 587.3K q/q, -20% y/y; Copper 18.2K tons vs 19.2K q/q
***US Equities***
- VMW: Reports Q4 $0.62 v $0.60e, R$1.06B v $1.0Be; Guides initial FY12 Rev $4.48-4.6B v $4.5Be; +4.7% afterhours
- TXN: Reports Q4 $0.25 (incl $0.23 in charges) v $0.39e, R$3.42B v $3.3Be; CFO: Saw a resumption of demand across a broad range of products in the quarter; +3.6% afterhours
- STM: Reports Q4 -$0.01 v -$0.03e, R$2.19B v $2.2Be; Guides Q1 Rev -10% to -4% q/q (implies $1.97-2.10B v $2.1Be); +1.9% afterhours
- WDC: Reports Q2 $1.51(adj) v $0.71e, R$1.99B v $1.8Be; Guides Q3 $1.15-1.45 (ex items) v $0.91e, R$2.0-2.15B v $2.0Be; +5.2% afterhours
- PLCM: Reports Q4 $0.41 v $0.29e, R$407.0M v $401Me; +14.0% afterhours
- CSX: Reports Q4 $0.43 v $0.44e, R$2.95B v $3.0Be; -3.0% afterhours
- CR: Reports Q4 $0.88 v $0.90e, R$632M v $650Me; Guides initial FY12 $3.75-3.95 v $3.86e, Rev +5-6% (implies $2.67-2.70B v
$2.7Be); -0.2% afterhours
***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (CN) China Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM): Domestic pork prices +3.0% in Jan 11th-20th period - financial press
- FCG.NZ: New Zealand Commerce Commission announces plans for annual monitoring of milk prices in New Zealand - Dominion Post
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall by 5.2 tons to 1,250.5 tons (lowest since 1,245.1 on Nov 11th)

Friday, January 27, 2012

FOREX NEWS - Yen at 1-mo lows as Japan posts rare trade deficit

* Dollar, euro at one-month highs vs yen


* Macro funds seen selling yen as Japan logs first deficit since 1980


* Euro lower vs dollar as Greek worries offset strong German IFO data


By Anirban Nag


LONDON, Jan 25 (Reuters) - The yen dropped to one-month lows against the dollar and the euro on Wednesday, as speculators and investors took data showing Japan had logged its first annual trade deficit since 1980 as a cue to unwind bullish bets on the Japanese currency.


The euro briefly rose to a session high against the dollar after a strong German business sentiment survey offered fresh evidence that Europe's largest economy may skirt a recession.


The focus is now shifting to the Federal Reserve, which is expected to begin a new practice of announcing individual policymakers' interest rate projections when its two-day meeting ends later on Wednesday.


Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. central bank will signal that it is unlikely to start hiking interest rates until the first half of 2014, more than five years after chopping them to near zero. Any surprise on the dovish side could see the dollar come under pressure against the euro and the yen, analysts said.


"U.S. yields have pushed up in recent days and if data there continues to improve we would see the dollar supported," said Geoff Kendrick, currency strategist at Nomura.


"But the risk is the Fed could be more dovish than what the market is expecting, in which case you might see the dollar pull back. In any case, I do not see the dollar rising to 80 yen."


The dollar reached as high as 78.14 yen on trading platform EBS, its highest level since late December. Selling in the yen picked up after Japan logged an annual trade deficit in 2011 for the first time in over 30 years.


Traders cited robust offers from Japanese exporters from 78 yen up to 79 yen although many expect selling in the currency to gather pace on steady unwinding of yen long positions placed by speculators, with model and macro funds also keen to sell.


In the options market, dollar/yen one-month risk reversals moved to 0.8 in favour of dollar calls, around the strongest dollar bias since 2003 and indicating some more gains for the greenback. Implied vols ticked higher but remained subdued at around 8 percent for the one-month.


Lee Hardman, currency economist at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ was sceptical that the trade deficit would have a lasting impact on the yen.


"With Japan running a sizeable and more stable investment income surplus totalling close to 15 trillion yen in the twelve months to November 2011 its current account balance has remained firmly in surplus," he said. "Recent yen weakness is more likely corrective than a trend reversal. The Fed's commitment to maintain low rates will help cap dollar/yen upside potential."


Chartists said the dollar would have to battle a wall of resistance posed by the 200-day moving average at 78.35 yen and the 61.8 percent retracement of the October-January fall at 78.31 yen.


GREECE JITTERS WEIGH


The broad weakness in the yen lifted the euro to a four-week peak of 101.88 yen. It was last trading at 101.50 yen, still up 0.3 percent on the day and well above its 11-year low of 97.04 struck on Jan. 16.


Many Japanese exporters set their euro rate targets at 105 yen, so the pair would run into heavy selling pressure ahead of that level, traders said.


The euro gave up gains against the dollar made immediately after the German Ifo survey as growing worries that the European Central Bank would have to write down its holdings of Greek debt, crimping its ability to purchase other periphery debt, drove Italian yields higher.


"Uncertainty over the Greek debt talks and disappointment that there has still been no deal is spoiling the party for the euro," said Audrey Childe-Freeman, EMEA head of currency strategy at JP Morgan Private Bank.


"So despite the good IFO numbers, the euro is not able to break past $1.3080 which is a good resistance level."


The single currency was last trading at $1.2990, off a session high of $1.3052 struck immediately after the German IFO survey was released and 0.2 percent lower on the day. It struck a three-week peak of $1.3063 on Tuesday, with decent resistance seen in the $1.3075-1.3080 area - highs struck earlier this month and in late December.


The common currency has been supported reasonably well against the dollar in recent sessions, benefitting from a squeeze in extreme short positions. A decline in funding costs for Spain and Italy and recent data that have showed a surprising strength in manufacturing and services this month have also lent support.


Portugal also eased market jitters after its prime minister said the country was not seeking to renegotiate or extend its 78 billion euro bailout package.


© Thomson Reuters 2011. All rights reserved.


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Asian Market Update: Japan sees first trade deficit in more




- (JP) JAPAN DEC MERCHANDISE TRADE BALANCE: -¥205B V -¥170BE; ADJUSTED TRADE BALANCE: -¥568B V -¥385BE (multi-year low); 2011 Trade deficit ¥2.49T (1st deficit since 1980)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CONSUMER PRICES Q/Q: 0.0% V 0.2%E (3-year low); Y/Y: 3.1% V 3.3%E
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 RBA TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 2.6% V 2.4%E
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC MANUFACTURING PMI 51.9 V 46.0 PRIOR (4-month high)
- (SG) SINGAPORE DEC CPI M/M: 0.0% V 0.1%E; Y/Y: 5.5% V 5.5%E
- (JP) BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) JAN MONTHLY ECONOMIC REPORT: EXPORTS AND PRODUCTION TO STAY FLAT FOR THE TIME BEING
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC CREDIT CARD SPENDING M/M: 0.9% V -3.4% PRIOR; Y/Y: 5.9% V 3.2% PRIOR
- (PH) PHILIPPINES NOV TRADE BALANCE: -$1.6B V -$932M PRIOR; IMPORTS Y/Y: 0.6% V 2.3% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV WESTPAC LEADING INDEX M/M: -0.2% V +0.1% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA DEC DEWR INTERNET SKILLED VACANCIES: -1.1% V -1.0% PRIOR (6th consecutive decline)
***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +1.2%
- S&P/ASX +1.1%
- Kospi +0.1%
- Taiwan Taiex closed
- Singapore Straits Times +0.9%
- Shanghai Composite closed
- Hang Seng closed
- S&P Futures +0.3 at 1,315
- Feb Gold +0.1% at $1,666/oz
- March Crude +0.1% at $99.04
***Overview/Top Headlines***
- US equity index futures and the open Asian equity indices all gained today. After the close Apple beat expectations, recording record sales of iPhones and iPads, this is sure to boost Taiwan names like Hon Hai (2317.TW) when the Taiex reopens; Korea's Hynix gained over 2% (will report this week). Tokyo stocks ended the morning session at a three-month high, as the USD/JPY tested a 4-week high above ¥77.85 and had similar movement against the euro. This encouraged investors to buy exporters on the back of Japan's 2011 trade deficit of ¥2.49T, the first in 31-years. Japan MoF Official attributed the decline in 2011 exports to the earthquake, strong yen and weak overseas demand. Traders are looking ahead to the FOMC meeting and rate decision. Australia 10-yr yield rose 8bps after the Q4 RBA trimmed mean (an inflation measure) came in ahead of estimates. Treasurer Swan assured the markets that underlying inflation had moderated and well contained in the RBA target. Q4 CPI in Australia was at a 3-year low q/q with a flat reading y/y also disappointed forecasts coming in at 3.1% v 3.3% expected. London copper tested a 4-month high, silver tested $32.24. Elsewhere business and political leaders are gathering in Davos Switzerland for their annual trek to the World Economic Forum.
***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (AU) Australian banking regulator (APRA) has been told by the IMF to conduct more stringent stress tests on its banks in order to make sure they could withstand another global financial crisis - The Australian
- (JP) Japan govt officials already considering raising consumption tax beyond the 10% proposed by PM Noda - Nikkei News
- (PH) Philippines Econ official: Sees Q4 GDP growth at 3.2-5.0% y/y; 2011 growth 3.6-4.0% y/y
- (AU) Commonwealth Bank chief currency strategist Grace: "There's no hindrance for the RBA to cut rates from an inflation point of view because inflation is coming down" - SMH
***Equities***
- TM: Reports 2011 global sales 7.95M units; Raises FY12/13 Japan sales forecast to 1.63M units from 1.53M prior, +36% y/y
- WHC.AU: Reports Dec quarter production 1.11MT v 1.09MT y/y
- PBG.AU: Talks with KKR are continuing but still in very early stages; Institutional investors expressing some doubts that KKR is serious - The Australian
- Yahoo Japan, 4689.JP: Reports 9-month Net ¥73B v ¥67.8B y/y, Op Profit ¥121B v ¥117.2B y/y, Rev ¥222B v ¥216.6B y/y
***US Equities***
- CA: Reports Q3 $0.65 v $0.54e, R$1.26B v $1.2Be; increases share buyback program to $1.5B (13% of market cap); discloses increased quarterly dividend to $0.25/shr from $0.05/shr; +15% afterhours
- AAPL: Reports Q1 $13.87 v $10.10e, R$46.33B v $39Be; +7.3% afterhours
- STLD: Reports Q4 $0.14 v $0.11e, R$1.86B v $1.9Be; +1.9% afterhours
- YHOO: Reports Q4 $0.25 v $0.24e, R$1.17B (ex-TAC) v $1.2Be; -0.9% afterhours
- NSC: Reports Q4 $1.42 v $1.40e, R$2.80B v $2.8Be; -2.6% afterhours
- ALTR: Reports Q4 $0.45 v $0.42e, R$458M v $448Me; -1.7% afterhours
- AMD: Reports Q4 $0.19 v $0.16e, R$1.69B v $1.7Be; -2.9% afterhours
- NVDA: Lowers Q4 Rev guidance to $950M +/- 1% v $1.06Be (Nov 10th guided Rev -2 to +2% q/q, implies $1.05-1.09B); -4.0% afterhours
***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- (JP) Japan Steel Body: Expects 2012 crude steel output to decline y/y by 2-3M tons on weak domestic demand, exports (implies 104.6-105.6M tons vs. 107.6M y/y)
- (KR) South Korea Govt sells KRW908B in 20-yr bonds at 3.96% v 3.94% on Aug 21st