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Showing posts with label surplus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label surplus. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 10, 2012

~ shares weaker, Yen strengthens; China posts trade surplus of surprise

-(JP), the BANK OF JAPAN (YOU 'RE) LEAVES RATE UNCHANGED TARGET RANGE BETWEEN 0.0% TO 0.10%, AS EXPECTED >-(CN) CHINA MAR TRADE BALANCE: + $ 5.4 (B) (V)-$ 3.2 BE; Q1 $ 670M v-$ 1.0 B y/y
-(AU) AUSTRALIA MAR NAB BUSINESS CONFIDENCE: 3 V 1 PRIOR; BUSINESS CONDITIONS: 4 V 3 PRIOR
-(AU) AUSTRALIA MAR ANZ JOB ADVERTISEMENTS (M/M): 1.0% V 3.3% PRIOR (3-month low; 3rd consecutive m/m increase) >-(AU) AUSTRALIA AIG PERFORMANCE OF CONSTRUCTION INDEX: 36.2 V 35.6 PRIOR (first rise in 3 months; 22nd month of contraction)
-(ID) INDONESIA FEB M2 MONEY SUPPLY Y/Y: 17.7% V 17.2% PRIOR
-(A) MALAYSIA FEB INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: 7.5% V 5.0% E; MANUFACTURING SALES VALUE Y/Y: 10.5% V 4.1% PRIOR
-(A) MALAYSIA FEB TRADE BALANCE (MYR): 10.6 B V 10.2 BE
-(UK) UK MAR LLOYDS EMPLOYMENT CONFIDENCE INDEX:-58 V-69 PRIOR
-(UK) UK MAR RICS HOUSE PRICE BALANCE:-10% V-13% (E)
-(CO) Colombia Mar Producer Price Index M/M:-0.2% v, 0.1% of the prior; Y/Y: 1.6% v 2.7% prior
-(CO) Colombia Feb Exports: $ 4.8 (B) v $ 4.7 (B) prior
*** Markets Snapshot (as of 04: 30GMT) ***
-Nikkei225 + 0.2%
-& P/ASX-0.7%
-Kospi was 0.4%
-Taiwan Taiex + 0.1%
-The Singapore Straits Times + 0.2%
Shanghai Composite-1.0%
-Hang Seng-1.1%
-& P Futures + 0.1% at 1,376
-June gold + 0.6% at $ 1,653/oz
-May Crude-0.4% at $ 102.33
*** Overview/Top Headlines ***
Asian markets were mixed with currencies little changed in the session. Most notable was the USD/JPY down 0.3% or about 30 pips to ¥ 81.28 after the Bank of Japan in a unanimous vote left rates unchanged and agreed to not announce any new monetary easing measures. The're also kept their economic assessment unchanged. You're reiterated that the y/y, rate of change in the CPI is unchanged and that they will pursue powerful monetary easing to combat deflation. EUR/JPY dipped to ¥ 106.56. China recorded a surprise trade surplus series in March of $ 5.35 (B) against a forecast for a deficit of $ 3.2 (B). Exports came in above expectations while imports were much lower than the 9.0% expected at 5.3%. While positive overall the lower imports indicate that demand may be weaker than initially thought, though the behavior should ease some fears of a hard landing. China Customs Bureau head Zheng said that the March trade data shows that the global situation remains "grim" and that the 2012 trade behavior likely to shrink vs. 2011. The AUD/USD jumped higher on the news to session highs of $ 1.0358 before falling back to $ 1.03. Markets will now look to Friday's release of China Q1 GDP data. Fed Chairman Bernanke said that financial stability mission is as important as monetary policy; The Fed no longer has the same tools to counter money fund problems. Economy is still far from recovering from the financial crisis. Fed's emergency lending power has not been seriously weakened.
*** Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press ***
-(CN) China State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE): China Reiterates will ", then" promote convertibility of the yuan-Chinese press
-(BR) Brazil Central Bank Tombini: Expects stronger growth in H2 v H1; SELIC rate target likely to drop this slightly above the record low
-(JP) Japan Fin Min Azumi: Welcomes opposition LDP's policy goal is to double the sales tax; LDP's plan shows 10% hike in sales tax is unavoidable >-(AU) Australia is close to breaching its A $ 250B debt ceiling less than a year after raising it to the new cap due to a larger than expected deficit-The Australian
-(CN), According to the China Securities Journal March new yuan loans may be CNY900B v CNY798Be with Q1 loans totaling CNY 2.35 T v CNY 2.4 T target
** * Equities * **
-THE DAP.AU: Has received offers for JV on non-producing uranium assets
-WPL.AU: Will delay final Browse decision; Was given approval to amendments to the Browse Basin retention leases
-SMI, 981. HK: Raises Q1 Rev guidance + 14-15% q/q (implies $ 330.1-333.0 M) from + 7-9% y/y, prior
-AUN.AU: ACCC approves deal with Foxtel; Deal unlikely to substantially lessen competition
*** US Equities ***
-VVUS: Receives Notification of Qnexa (R) PDUFA Date Extension, delaying the new drug application (NDA) review by three months; -8.5% after hours
-HLIT: Reports prelim Q1 $-0.02.tar.bz2-$ 0.09, 0.03 v e $ 125-128 m v $ 137Me ($ 132-142M prior guidance); -4.0% after hours
*** FX/Fixed Income/Commodities ***
-(TW) Taiwan sells TWD40B vs. TWD40B indicated in 5-Year Bonds; Programmable Yield%
-Various container shipping firms plan to raise rates for routes between the US and Asia to $ 50-100/TEU-US financial press
-(AU) Newcastle Coal Exports in the week ended April 9th w/in: + 4.0
-(AU) Export from Australia's larger bulk commodity ports show a huge improvement y/y in Q1 despite heavy industrial action impacting the iron ore and coal sectors-the Australian Financial Review

Monday, January 30, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: NZ reports trade surplus; Yen continues to strengthen



(NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC TRADE BALANCE (NZ$): +338M V -50ME (1st surplus in 5-months)
- (JP) JAPAN DEC RETAIL TRADE M/M: 0.3% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 2.5% V 2.1%E (16-month high); LARGE RETAILERS' SALES Y/Y: % V -0.6%E
- (JP) JAPAN DEC NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: -0.2% V -0.2%E; CORE Y/Y: -0.1% V -0.1%E; JAPAN JAN TOKYO CPI Y/Y: -0.3% V -0.4%E; CORE Y/Y: -0.4% V -0.3%E
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 98 V 99 PRIOR
- (KS) SOUTH KOREA FEB BUSINESS SURVEY - MANUFACTURING: 81 V 79 PRIOR; NON-MANUFACTURING: 79 V 79 PRIOR
- (SG) SINGAPORE Q4 URA PRIVATE HOME PRICES Q/Q: +0.2% V 1.3% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN BOJ DEC 20-21 BOARD MEETING MINUTES
- (TH) THAILAND DEC INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: -25.8% V -28.0%E
***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.3%
- S&P/ASX +0.4%
- Kospi +0.1%
- Taiwan Taiex closed
- Singapore Straits Times -0.1%
- Shanghai Composite closed
- Hang Seng -0.1%
- S&P Futures -0.3% at 1,312
- Feb Gold -0.5% at $1,718/oz
- March Crude +0.1% at $99.77
***Overview/Top Headlines***
- Markets were mixed and cautious in the final trading day of the week, US jobless benefit claims rose last week while durable goods beat estimates in December. Markets are also waiting for the release of Q4 GDP from the US. A drop in USD/JPY tested ¥76.90; yen crosses sold into the Tokyo fix but regained back towards US session levels. This strength weighed on exporting names and could trigger repatriation. Japan PM Noda tried to verbally deter the strength calling for "bold" action to stem the yen rise. Commodities futures were all lower, silver and copper both falling 0.7%, wheat lost 1% while corn shed $2.20. Shares of NEC fell over 7.5% after reporting after the close on Thursday, NEC also said it would have to lay off 10,000 positions and forecasting its 4th consecutive yearly loss. Some attention was returned to the situation in Greece, it was again reported that the sides were close to an agreement but no new details were released. Euro was weaker through most of the session as was the Swissie.
- RBNZ Gov Bollard talking after the December trade balance numbers said that the latest rate decision assumes a delay in Christchurch rebuild with a pick up in 2013; Market does not expect rate increase for a year. In the Q&A went on to say there is a 2012 GDP target of 2-3%; Growth expectations have not changed much.
- Bank of Japan in their December 20-21st meeting minutes were mostly in agreement that the broader part of the EU economy remains sluggish, including Germany. One sees merit of high yen for domestic demand oriented firms in Japan. Some thought, the latest expansion of asset buying has been effective and there was a need to continue corp bond buying even though there was under subscription.
***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (KR) South Korea Govt and Bank of Korea (BoK): Need to redouble efforts to enter new markets as demand from Southeast Asia, China and developed countries for the country's exports is expected to fall
- (JP) Japan Fin Min Azumi: MoF staff looking at the trade deficit number to determine if it is temporary
- (ID) Indonesia Central Bank Gov: Sees Jan CPI 0.6-0.7% m/m and 3.5% y/y; Sees 2012 CPI at 5.2-5.5% y/y if fuel subsidies are imposed
- USD/MYR: (MY) Former Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohammad said the world's biggest economies could return to a Bretton Woods-style currency system due to quantitative easing measures by major central banks - US financial press
***Equities***
- Samsung Electronics, 005930.KR: Reports Q4 Net KRW4.0T, Op Profit KRW5.3T v KRW5.2Te, Rev KRW47.3T v KRW47Te
- WPL.AU: Started taking indicative bids for a large fraction of its 50% stake in the Browse gas project; Could exceed A$1.0B for the stake - The Australian
- DCM: Reports 9-month Net ¥395B v ¥443.9B y/y, Op Profit ¥743.8B v ¥758.5B y/y; Rev ¥3.17T v ¥3.2T y/y
- HMC: Reports 2011 global vehicles sales -20.2% y/y to 2.9M units
- TM: Reports 2011 global production -9.1% y/y to 6.9M units
- NSANY: Reports 2011 global output +14.3% y/y to 4.6M
- Kia Motors, 000270.KR: Reports FY11 Net profit KRW3.5T v KRW2.3T y/y; Op profit KRW3.5T v KRW1.7T y/y; Rev KRW43.2T v KRW23.3T y/y
- LPL: Reports FY11 Net loss KRW991B v loss KRW842Be; Op loss KRW1.25T v loss KRW910Me; Rev KRW23.5T v KRW24Te
***US Equities***
- SBUX: Reports Q1 $0.50 v $0.49e, R$3.44B v $3.3Be; Raises FY12 $1.78-1.82 v $1.83e, Affirms Rev +10%; Q1 non gaap op margin 16.2% v 17.0% y/y; margin contraction was due to higher commodity costs; -2.1% afterhours
- JNPR: Reports Q4 $0.28 v $0.28e, R$1.12B v $1.1Be; Guides Q1 $0.11-0.14 v $0.26e, R$960-990B v $1.1Be; -8.1% afterhours
- RVBD: Reports Q4 $0.25 v $0.24e, R$204M v $201Me; Guides Q1 $0.19-0.20 v $0.25e, R$183-187M v $197Me - conf call; -13.8% afterhours
- RHI: Reports Q4 $0.30 v $0.31e, R$973M v $986Me; -3.9% afterhours
- DV: Reports Q2 $0.85 (ex items) v $1.00e, R$524M v $536Me; -8.7% afterhours
- AMGN: Reports Q4 $1.21 v $1.22e, R$3.97B v $3.9Be; +1.0% afterhours
- KLAC: Reports Q2 $0.72 v $0.66e, R $642M v $631Me; Guides Q3 $1.00-1.18 v $0.82e, R$770-830M v $684Me; +3.7% afterhours
***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- PKX: Considering lowering the capacity of planned mill in India from 13M ton/year to 8M ton/year
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings rise by 1.5 tons to 1,261.1 tons (highest since 1,267.9 on Dec 21st)

Friday, January 27, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: NZ reports trade surplus; Yen continues to strengthen



(NZ) NEW ZEALAND DEC TRADE BALANCE (NZ$): +338M V -50ME (1st surplus in 5-months)
- (JP) JAPAN DEC RETAIL TRADE M/M: 0.3% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 2.5% V 2.1%E (16-month high); LARGE RETAILERS' SALES Y/Y: % V -0.6%E
- (JP) JAPAN DEC NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: -0.2% V -0.2%E; CORE Y/Y: -0.1% V -0.1%E; JAPAN JAN TOKYO CPI Y/Y: -0.3% V -0.4%E; CORE Y/Y: -0.4% V -0.3%E
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 98 V 99 PRIOR
- (KS) SOUTH KOREA FEB BUSINESS SURVEY - MANUFACTURING: 81 V 79 PRIOR; NON-MANUFACTURING: 79 V 79 PRIOR
- (SG) SINGAPORE Q4 URA PRIVATE HOME PRICES Q/Q: +0.2% V 1.3% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN BOJ DEC 20-21 BOARD MEETING MINUTES
- (TH) THAILAND DEC INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: -25.8% V -28.0%E
***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.3%
- S&P/ASX +0.4%
- Kospi +0.1%
- Taiwan Taiex closed
- Singapore Straits Times -0.1%
- Shanghai Composite closed
- Hang Seng -0.1%
- S&P Futures -0.3% at 1,312
- Feb Gold -0.5% at $1,718/oz
- March Crude +0.1% at $99.77
***Overview/Top Headlines***
- Markets were mixed and cautious in the final trading day of the week, US jobless benefit claims rose last week while durable goods beat estimates in December. Markets are also waiting for the release of Q4 GDP from the US. A drop in USD/JPY tested ¥76.90; yen crosses sold into the Tokyo fix but regained back towards US session levels. This strength weighed on exporting names and could trigger repatriation. Japan PM Noda tried to verbally deter the strength calling for "bold" action to stem the yen rise. Commodities futures were all lower, silver and copper both falling 0.7%, wheat lost 1% while corn shed $2.20. Shares of NEC fell over 7.5% after reporting after the close on Thursday, NEC also said it would have to lay off 10,000 positions and forecasting its 4th consecutive yearly loss. Some attention was returned to the situation in Greece, it was again reported that the sides were close to an agreement but no new details were released. Euro was weaker through most of the session as was the Swissie.
- RBNZ Gov Bollard talking after the December trade balance numbers said that the latest rate decision assumes a delay in Christchurch rebuild with a pick up in 2013; Market does not expect rate increase for a year. In the Q&A went on to say there is a 2012 GDP target of 2-3%; Growth expectations have not changed much.
- Bank of Japan in their December 20-21st meeting minutes were mostly in agreement that the broader part of the EU economy remains sluggish, including Germany. One sees merit of high yen for domestic demand oriented firms in Japan. Some thought, the latest expansion of asset buying has been effective and there was a need to continue corp bond buying even though there was under subscription.
***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (KR) South Korea Govt and Bank of Korea (BoK): Need to redouble efforts to enter new markets as demand from Southeast Asia, China and developed countries for the country's exports is expected to fall
- (JP) Japan Fin Min Azumi: MoF staff looking at the trade deficit number to determine if it is temporary
- (ID) Indonesia Central Bank Gov: Sees Jan CPI 0.6-0.7% m/m and 3.5% y/y; Sees 2012 CPI at 5.2-5.5% y/y if fuel subsidies are imposed
- USD/MYR: (MY) Former Malaysia PM Mahathir Mohammad said the world's biggest economies could return to a Bretton Woods-style currency system due to quantitative easing measures by major central banks - US financial press
***Equities***
- Samsung Electronics, 005930.KR: Reports Q4 Net KRW4.0T, Op Profit KRW5.3T v KRW5.2Te, Rev KRW47.3T v KRW47Te
- WPL.AU: Started taking indicative bids for a large fraction of its 50% stake in the Browse gas project; Could exceed A$1.0B for the stake - The Australian
- DCM: Reports 9-month Net ¥395B v ¥443.9B y/y, Op Profit ¥743.8B v ¥758.5B y/y; Rev ¥3.17T v ¥3.2T y/y
- HMC: Reports 2011 global vehicles sales -20.2% y/y to 2.9M units
- TM: Reports 2011 global production -9.1% y/y to 6.9M units
- NSANY: Reports 2011 global output +14.3% y/y to 4.6M
- Kia Motors, 000270.KR: Reports FY11 Net profit KRW3.5T v KRW2.3T y/y; Op profit KRW3.5T v KRW1.7T y/y; Rev KRW43.2T v KRW23.3T y/y
- LPL: Reports FY11 Net loss KRW991B v loss KRW842Be; Op loss KRW1.25T v loss KRW910Me; Rev KRW23.5T v KRW24Te
***US Equities***
- SBUX: Reports Q1 $0.50 v $0.49e, R$3.44B v $3.3Be; Raises FY12 $1.78-1.82 v $1.83e, Affirms Rev +10%; Q1 non gaap op margin 16.2% v 17.0% y/y; margin contraction was due to higher commodity costs; -2.1% afterhours
- JNPR: Reports Q4 $0.28 v $0.28e, R$1.12B v $1.1Be; Guides Q1 $0.11-0.14 v $0.26e, R$960-990B v $1.1Be; -8.1% afterhours
- RVBD: Reports Q4 $0.25 v $0.24e, R$204M v $201Me; Guides Q1 $0.19-0.20 v $0.25e, R$183-187M v $197Me - conf call; -13.8% afterhours
- RHI: Reports Q4 $0.30 v $0.31e, R$973M v $986Me; -3.9% afterhours
- DV: Reports Q2 $0.85 (ex items) v $1.00e, R$524M v $536Me; -8.7% afterhours
- AMGN: Reports Q4 $1.21 v $1.22e, R$3.97B v $3.9Be; +1.0% afterhours
- KLAC: Reports Q2 $0.72 v $0.66e, R $642M v $631Me; Guides Q3 $1.00-1.18 v $0.82e, R$770-830M v $684Me; +3.7% afterhours
***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- PKX: Considering lowering the capacity of planned mill in India from 13M ton/year to 8M ton/year
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings rise by 1.5 tons to 1,261.1 tons (highest since 1,267.9 on Dec 21st)