Forex trading talk 00: 00 GMT 17 February 2012

talk: what's moving markets continuous on Forex Forum key items EZ-current account, GB retail sales. US CPI.    

Thursday saw many headlines about a likely agreement between the EU and Greece on a bailout package by Monday. What struck US over the session was the nature of the headlines that came out over the day.

What has changed is that the headlines focused on specifics rather than generalities. This suggests that negotiations are ongoing and that they are now focused on DETAILS. That means that a deal is now being hammered out.

Expectations that a deal is at hand gave the EURUSD a strong lift over the day. .

Australian January employment data can be very volatile but were much stronger than expected. The AUD is Winky the day much stronger.

China has pledged to play a larger role in helping Europe get through its financial difficulties.

End of fiscal year Japanese life insurance investment adjustment activity coming into focus? Covert intervention by the BOJ has been confirmed, and more what threatened on Friday.

Check Forum over the Forex the day for continuous on updated and ongoing discussion of current trading themes in the MARKET CHATTER discussion thread.

Forex pairs spreads vs 2-yr note

Some traders focus intently on the Japan vs. U.S. 2-yr note spread (only the U.S. 2-yr moves much).

COMMODITIES and commodity currencies

Click on chart to enlarge

EQUITIES & INTEREST RATES

Bonds are a counter to risk trades because risk investments must be financed. When the cost of money moves up (higher interest rates), the return and allure of risk trades such as equities if.

See ECONOMIC CALENDAR for a complete list of future forex market events and consensus data estimates. Go to the forex forum for up-to-date market developments and technical trading ideas.

John M. Bland is an author and co-founder and partner of global View.com. Prior to global-View.com, hey what a forex trader and a private-label forex analyst for a top fed watching service in NYC. He has been a corporate forex advisor\r and so worked in international liability management for a major New York money center bank. John holds an MBA from the University of California at Berkeley and a b.a. in international economics from that school.

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