Forex Trade Talk 11:00 GMT 8 March 2012

Trade Talk: What's Moving Markets continuous on Forex Forum Key Items: BOE, ECB, US- Jobs.   A key focus heading today is the 20:00 GMT deadline for participation in the Greek debt swap, although results of the extent of participation will not be announced until 9:00 GMT on Friday.  Bondholder participation above 50% would allow Greece retroactively to invoke a Collective Action Clause (CAC) on all bondholders. That would trigger Credit Default Swaps (CDS). Participation above 50% appears assured. Above 90% participation would make the restructuring "voluntary" and not trigger the CDS. This is thought to be out of reach.  No policy changes are expected from the BOE or ECB today. Policy biases will be closely followed. We will hear a lot about ECB thinking today at its usual press conference. It takes another two weeks before we hear something definitive about BOE policy (BOE Minutes). U.S. February monthly employment data are set for Friday. ADP private employment data Wednesday saw a gain in private jobs of 216K. If accurate it suggests that street expectations for a gain of 200K in non-farm payrolls are in line.  Check the Forex Forum over the day for an updated and ongoing discussion of current trading themes in the MARKET CHATTER continuous discussion thread.Forex pairs vs 2-yr note spreads Some traders focus intently on the Japan vs. U.S. 2-yr note spread (only the U.S. 2-yr moves much).  COMMODITIES and Commodity Currencies

Click on Chart to Enlarge EQUITIES & INTEREST RATESBonds are a counter to risk trades because risk investments must be financed. When the cost of money moves up (higher interest rates), the return and allure of risk trades such as equities falls.  See ECONOMIC CALENDAR for a complete list of future forex market events and consensus data estimates. Go to the forex forum for up-to-date market developments and technical trading ideas. John M. Bland is an author and co-founder and partner of Global-View.com. Prior to Global-View.com, he was a forex trader and a private-label forex analyst for a top Fed watching service in NYC. He has been a corporate forex advisor and also worked in international liability management for a major N.Y. money center bank. John holds an MBA from the University of California at Berkeley and a B.A. in International Economics from that school. The information upon which Global Viewpoint, Inc. Bases its Forex analyses is obtained from sources it believes are reliable, but Global Viewpoint, Inc. Does not guarantee the accuracy, reliability, timeliness or completeness of any of the information, content, views, opinions, recommendations or services, contained on, distributed through, or linked, downloaded or accessed from any of the services contained on the Global-View site, and use of the information provided on this web site is at your sole risk. Global-View specifically represents that it does not give investment advice or advocate any purchase, sale or trade. Opinions expressed on the forum pages are not necessarily those of Global Viewpoint, Inc. In using the forums you should not assume that any messages provided have been reviewed by Global- Viewpoint, inc., or that such communications contain correct information, Global Viewpoint, Inc. Disclaims any warranty, whether express or implied including, without limitation, warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose, with respect to the service or any materials and products. None of the materials presented on our web site are to be regarded as investment advice. In no event shall Global Viewpoint, Inc. And other information providers, be liable for direct, indirect, incidental, punitive, or consequential damages of any kind whatsoever, with respect to the service, the materials and the products.copyright 2012 global-view.com Daily Forex Market News
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