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Thursday, March 22, 2012

Forex trading talk 00: 00 GMT 22 March 2012

Trade Talk: What's Moving Markets continuous on Forex Forum Key Items: CN- HSBC PMI, EZ- flash PMIs, GB- Retail Sales, US- Weekly jobs.. 
U.S. Existing Homes Sales came in as expected. A slow recovery continues. This is the widest measure of housing. Data released on Tuesday were in line with expectations. A strong housing turnaround is still needed to improve employment.
Testimony by Fed Chairman Bernanke before Congress today on Europe had no impact. His prepared text was leaked to the press Tuesday.  
Bond markets were in the spotlight again with prices gaining (yields falling), Tue U.S.10-yr is ending at 2.29%, -8bps.
Thursday sees key flash PMI reports from China and the EZ.
Check the Forex Forum over the day for an updated and ongoing discussion of current trading themes in the MARKET CHATTER continuous discussion thread.
Forex pairs vs 2-yr note spreads
Some traders focus intently on the Japan vs. U.S. 2-yr note spread (only the U.S. 2-yr moves much). 
COMMODITIES and Commodity Currencies
EQUITIES & INTEREST RATES
Bonds are a counter to risk trades because risk investments must be financed. When the cost of money moves up (higher interest rates), the return and allure of risk trades such as equities falls. 
See ECONOMIC CALENDAR for a complete list of future forex market events and consensus data estimates. Go to the forex forum for up-to-date market developments and technical trading ideas.
John M. Bland is an author and co-founder and partner of Global-View.com. Prior to Global-View.com, he was a forex trader and a private-label forex analyst for a top Fed watching service in NYC. He has been a corporate forex advisor and also worked in international liability management for a major N.Y. money center bank. John holds an MBA from the University of California at Berkeley and a B.A. in International Economics from that school.
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