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Thursday, June 21, 2012

The USDJPY breaks out as stocks to trim Zone control

"The market (S)" aka "RISK" instant - closes 60 minutes
USDJPY_Breaks_Out_as_Stocks_Struggle_at_Topping_Zone_body_all.png, USDJPY Breaks Out as Stocks Struggle at Topping Zone
Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
SPX 500 - bars of every day

USDJPY_Breaks_Out_as_Stocks_Struggle_at_Topping_Zone_body_SPY.png, USDJPY Breaks Out as Stocks Struggle at Topping ZonePrepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
We are just 1 day away in our proposed trim window. "The decline of the high April consumed in 43 days... corrective rallies tend to consume 1/3 - 1 / 2 of the time which made the decline." In other words, one would expect the rally of bass to take 14 to 21 days. Projected from the bass 6/4, we get a possible trim dates 6/22-7/3. »
Spy ETF - daily candles

USDJPY_Breaks_Out_as_Stocks_Struggle_at_Topping_Zone_body_SPY_1.png, USDJPY Breaks Out as Stocks Struggle at Topping ZonePrepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
The rally of the bass in SPY traced about 61.8% of the decline from April high. At this time, keep an eye on the string that defines the advance of the 6/4 bottom of support and resistance. A fall below Monday to 133.28 low suggests that the top is in place. Until then, the respect for the potential to the void left open in early May to 138.99 (crosses the resistance of the channel tomorrow). It is noted that the RSI is pressing against 60, which is often a resistance in a bear trend. The DJIA and S & P 500 Index have already reached their setbacks to 61.8%. A look at the intraday patterns suggests that dip of yesterday may have composed wave 4 C (or part of the wave of C). 4 waves are often difficult (complex) they occur before the final assault that results in a reversal of the situation. Decreased by about 100 points yesterday closing Dow would result in a test of the 38.2% of the 3rd wave and Intraday rally tracing 6/18 low pivot little less 12730 (see following table).
DJIA - 30 minute bars

USDJPY_Breaks_Out_as_Stocks_Struggle_at_Topping_Zone_body_dow.png, USDJPY Breaks Out as Stocks Struggle at Topping ZonePrepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
Australian Dollar futures - Minute 240 Bars

USDJPY_Breaks_Out_as_Stocks_Struggle_at_Topping_Zone_body_AUD.png, USDJPY Breaks Out as Stocks Struggle at Topping ZonePrepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
As I mentioned last night on Twitter (@ JamieSaettele), volume on futures of Australian Dollar (CME) in the upper part was the highest since the bottom price on 6 and 1. Go back more than once that volume it was high for an hour 4 period was high and low on 04/10/11 (which resulted a high short term that has taken the time to develop) on 11/30. Volume of this magnitude is indicative of a "washing".
USDJPY - Minute 240 BarsUSDJPY_Breaks_Out_as_Stocks_Struggle_at_Topping_Zone_body_usdjpy.png, USDJPY Breaks Out as Stocks Struggle at Topping ZonePrepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
Seq. bull USDJPY appears to be underway. Risk on long may be moved to 7860 (from 7765) and 7980 is now. We are in what may be the interim resistance but the first real test will come near 8075.

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