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Showing posts with label perspectives. Show all posts
Showing posts with label perspectives. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

-: Perspectives euro short-term always constructive despite the last Pullback

June 12, 2012 05: 55 GMT markets retirement wave of Sunday, but must find technical support image clarity that the fundamental principles now offers constructive Euro short of time over 1.2385 USD/JPY is fresh to the rear more than $80.00 despite the last withdrawal in the perception of the risks, markets do not seek as bad that some might think. After all, the action of the price is somewhat misleading because of the huge gap open risk of active correlation Sunday evening. While we not take this as a sign too optimistic, we would not recommend also to head for research and the more important position of liquidation of risk at this stage. For the moment, our technical Outlook seems to offer more clarity, and while that the Euro takes over 1.2385, we see additional risks to the market following a bullish weekly reversal ending a sequence of four consecutive lower weekly low and low plateaus.
The Euro is the market which must be monitored for directional overview of larger markets, and if this market should be taken in from 1.2400, we could still see yet another push beyond senior 1.2670 from Monday, to the area 1 2800 - 1 3000 further up. Ultimately, this should result in more currencies, higher equities and a low Dollar and Yen. The buck and the Yen were already sold their earlier respective daily limits, with the Yen find a relative weakness on the comments of the IMF that the currency is overvalued. This market level key look more high is 80.00 and a break and back close this psychological barrier could accelerate once more gains.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
Euro_Short-Term_Outlook_Still_Constructive_Despite_Latest_Pullback__body_Picture_5.png, Euro Short-Term Outlook Still Constructive Despite Latest PullbackTECHNICAL OUTLOOK

EUR/USD: the market is in train to correct certain levels severely oversold after breakdown of yearly lows little less 1.2300. While our global perspective is clearly downward, by we see still place upside in the short term before a high low is wanted. Look for the positive in the last week has close to open the door for an acceleration in the region of 1 2800 - 1 3000, where new offers are likely to re-emerge. Setbacks must be well supported ahead of 1.2400.

Euro_Short-Term_Outlook_Still_Constructive_Despite_Latest_Pullback__body_eur.png, Euro Short-Term Outlook Still Constructive Despite Latest PullbackUSD/JPY: the recent setbacks have been quite intense, the market collapse by the ADM, 200 days before finally finding support by 77.65. We have since seen attempts at recovery and we support that the market should continue to break higher, with views finally fixed on a retest and rupture of 2012 senior by UST up more. However, at this stage, we need to see a break and close above 80.00 back to alleviate the pressures weighing officially and to reaffirm the optimistic prospects.

Euro_Short-Term_Outlook_Still_Constructive_Despite_Latest_Pullback__body_usd.png, Euro Short-Term Outlook Still Constructive Despite Latest PullbackGBP/USD: Daily studies are now correct oversold and risk CIHI appear inclined upside down to allow a corrective bounce short term necessary after the setback down just shy of the 2012 bottom of January. Locate the last close back daily over 1.5440 to strengthen the prospects for growth in the short term, provided in the 1.5800 region where a low high costs will be sought for that underpin the acceleration of bear trend to resume. Only a close back under delays 1.5400.

Euro_Short-Term_Outlook_Still_Constructive_Despite_Latest_Pullback__body_gbp.png, Euro Short-Term Outlook Still Constructive Despite Latest PullbackUSD/CHF: while we retain a broader upward perspective for this pair, with the market seen to establish above parity in the weeks to come, short-term risks are a corrective withdrawal to allow the market to establish a fresh plu bass. Thus, we see risks of weakness in the next sessions to the 9200 0 - 0 9300 area before the market seeks to reaffirm its upward momentum and broader uptrend.

Monday, May 21, 2012

-$ NZ Dollar des Gains sur les perspectives de croissance de la Chine, le sommet du G8 tient Euro faible

21 May 2012 16: 33 GMT  Fundamental Headlines
-Copper Up purpose Greek Contagion Fears Weigh - Reuters
-Asia Stocks Rise After China first Says Growth is Focus - Bloomberg
-Treasury Prices Fall as G8 Leaders Back Greece in Euro Zone - Reuters
-Gold Steadies As Softer Euro Curbs Rebound - Reuters
-Fed's Lockhart Says Circumstances Not Ripe for QE3 - Reuters
European Session Summary
The US Dollar (ticker: USDOLLAR) traded lower against the Australian Dollar and other high-risk counterparts on a modest improvement in financial market sentiment, but overall momentum left it poised for modest gains against the Euro and British Pound. It was a quiet start to the trading week as highly-anticipated events over the weekend failed to produce material breakthroughs or shifts in financial market sentiment.
The biggest event risk on the weekend was a highly-anticipated summit of G8 leaders. Disappointingly little action or new rhetoric nonetheless meant that Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao's pledges to focus more on bolstering Chinese economic growth took the spotlight. Jiabao indicated that policies may be loosened further as inflation moderates. As a result, commodity and risk-correlated assets such as the Australian dollar, NZ dollar and Canadian dollar strengthened against the greenback. Prices of growth-dependent commodities like copper and crude oil similarly gilts higher on stronger Chinese growth prospects.
Yet gains in broader markets were muted as Greek contagion fears continued to weigh on the global economic outlook. G8 leaders vowed to take steps to combat financial turmoil and revive a global economy threatened by Europe's continuing debt crisis. But they were unable to offer a solution to Greece's debt woes ahead of elections to be held on June 17.
Looking ahead, the top market event to watch out for will be the UK report for April on its Consumer Price Index (CPI), due for release at 08: 30 GMT on Tuesday morning (04: 30 EDT). Consumer prices in the UK are expected to have risen 0.6 percent in April from a month ago, while core inflation is expected to have fallen to 2.0 percent on an annual basis from 2.5 percent in March. Should core inflation fall in line with gold more than projected, we may see calls for further quantitative easing by the Bank of England which is likely to weaken the pound.
Taking a look at credit, pressure is back on the shorter-end of the curve, with yields on Spanish 2-year notes climbing to 4.210 percent. On the longer end, Greek 10-year notes led rising yields, increasing 15 6-basis points to a 29.299 percent yield.
NZDUSD 5 - min Chart: May 21, 2012

NZ_Dollar_Gains_on_China_Growth_Prospects_G8_Summit_Keeps_Euro_Low_body_Picture_1.png, NZ Dollar Gains on China Growth Prospects, G8 Summit Keeps Euro LowCharts Created using Marketscope - Prepared by Tzu - Wen Chen
The New Zealand Dollar is the top performer, rallying by 0.55 percent against the US dollar, which is among the weaker currencies on the day. The Australian and Canadian dollars were also higher against the greenback, gaining 0.12 percent and 0.05, respectively. The Japanese Yen trails all of its major currency counterparts, with the USDJPY declining by 0.38 percent.