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Sunday, July 22, 2012

U.S. dollars ends week with risk trends, and facilitate U.S. Ahead of GDP

U.S. dollars ends week with risk trends, and facilitate U.S. Ahead of GDP
U.S. dollar ends week with evolving risks, and facilitate the U.S. on the eve of GDP
Euro falls sharply Friday, as fears rise in crisis, despite an agreement Spain
British Pound may solve their fundamental drift Q2 GDP figures
New Zealand Dollar: How the market reacts to the decision of the Bank of New Zealand?
The atmosphere Australian dollar anti-risking the loss, the CPI data, this may change
Swiss Franc: the resurgence of sales of € increases pressure on the Swiss National Bank
Narrow range of gold and the risk premium cheap Belie fundamental tension
U.S. dollar ends week with evolving risks, and facilitate the U.S. on the eve of GDP
Friday brought a welcome sight for the beleaguered dollar: risk aversion and for sale € of particular importance. The fundamental impulse that got us the FXCM U.S. dollar Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5 percent to break his five-day fall of 155 pips. But here we can not recognize the temporary correction of the real trend. As the dollar index and the S & P 500 - two points of reference end of the spectrum of emotions - the movement is only a fraction has delayed the progress of the past week and month. Configure the likelihood of these standards alone would leave us with a scenario of very low probability to see new highs for several months for the dollar and risk aversion in the near future. On the other hand, we find a spark with a negative EURUSD volatile. Amid the anger, on Friday, financial markets, the euro fell to a minimum of two years from its primary and ended the week again to overtake the entire center (or as they call it a technical operator: The decline of 50 percent Fibonacci) of its historic range. Although the dollar has increased significantly before the month is the construction of 22 new levels, would be an act of the influence that the collapse of the EURUSD is an important step in providing represent us there.
With a little more liquid in the world, threat of radical change, there is an imminent danger to the opening 24 to 48 hours per week on new trends that the business climate in the wake of the continued use of fundamental position of the dollar will be taken. The fear that efforts to stem the crisis of the euro are not (and the situation is, in fact, strengthening and extension) would be a spark to be persuasive with the implied volatility in the foreign exchange market in five years, while the minimum requirements for the structure radically have poorer prognoses. The ball of risk aversion is the first step - the move is as follows. In other words, keep the pulse lighter than light. In the last two months, a consistent trend was difficult to maintain because there were too many regular events that have caused investors' expectations and hopes of further support for the political authorities. With Bernanke reinforce the reluctance of banks to QE3 and EZ-finance showing the extent of their desire to stabilize the region, there is no doubt that also provide relief to the round (distance) in addition to the decisions of the meeting as possible . Meanwhile, the U.S. 2Q GDP reading Thurs Friday buffer and catalyst. According to the hope of the masses, the report is an opportunity to be treated to stop an important step. At the same time, according to the expectations and level of surprise, as an indicator that everything you feel, can override stretching.
Euro falls sharply Friday, as fears rise in crisis, despite an agreement Spain
The euro was the worst performing major currencies Friday ... one day that those responsible for the crisis caused by advanced anti allegedly granting the bank bailout in Spain. The gap was on market expectations that lead to the unexpected event, the owner, in addition to the meeting. For the meeting of finance ministers of the euro area in Spain, the salvation of the country, would have approved. Therefore proposed a new vote, which does not support any further details, to the total amount and time confirmed that no progress. Worse, it now seems that banks and investors share the losses must be subordinated. Do not miss the opportunity, the truth of history, and I learned that the rating agency Egan Jones had undermined lowered to CCC + in Spain and one of the largest of the regional government (Valencia) to ask for financial assistance. For a complete description (rather than a bank) rescue looking inevitable. Thus, the EURUSD looks over the edge.
British Pound may solve their fundamental drift Q2 GDP figures
There are two entrances, the economic indicators that should be released next week, and the United Kingdom in the Second Quarter GDP reading is one of them. The book occupies a unique position among the great who are not own relationships. It looks like a gateway for the dissemination of EU crisis has not really jumped the firewall, but soon even power can be cut and ambitious fiscal consolidation effort begins to show stress in economy. In other words, the book is temporarily vital phase. This, however, can be shared by a surprising significant data set.
New Zealand Dollar: How the market reacts to the decision of the Bank of New Zealand?
Comparisons are always attracted by his Australian counterpart, considering the New Zealand dollar. However, there is a very important difference between the two in the aspect that most high-yield important rates. The Australian dollar rose against the kiwi, although bond yields (New Zealand to invest real income) and deposit rates at a significant premium to the reputation of Australia. Maybe the market is reminded that should keep interest rates the Bank of New Zealand and maintain a neutral tone. Maybe it will take risk aversion, in order to balance the field.
The atmosphere Australian dollar anti-risking the loss, the CPI data, this may change
With red in a sea of ​​global equities, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar is no doubt flooded, suffer from the recession. However, in comparison with the many attractions of the capital market to limit the currency of high performance managed by their losses. There are a moderate level of dynamic recovery of the money that the top view, cut to facilitate aggressive course, but will dry quickly. With the CPI data for the 2nd Quarter is expected to fall below the target range this week, perhaps soon to be pessimistic, neutral. Risk trends and a new central bank interest rates should also be considered.
Swiss Franc: the resurgence of sales of € increases pressure on the Swiss National Bank
When the collapse of confidence in the euro zone crisis by fighting, it's easy to be on the consequences of a major break for the EURUSD and possibly expand on the environmental risks usually connect. However, it is important to connect the dots to connect to Europe's most popular refuge - EURCHF. If the pair of the world's most liquid creates a new case under 1.2135, the speculative pressure and fundamental doubts could also put pressure on the SNB 1.2000 EURCHF ground. You can continue to fight, but policy changes are more likely to happen by force.
Narrow range of gold and the risk premium cheap Belie fundamental tension
The range and very difficult to continue to contract in gold, and traders seem to have no problems with it, to see - at least they are not price the options. But CBOE Volatility Index dropped to a few months on two new Friday, pushing less on the risk premium. Collected at a higher market activity by risk trends, the potential to reduce the Fed to represent a serious problem until QE3 for gold.

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