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Showing posts with label renewed. Show all posts
Showing posts with label renewed. Show all posts

Thursday, June 7, 2012

$Euro Finds Renewed Bids; Resistance Eyed by Previous Weekly High

Correlated active risk find renewed plans German to strengthen Spanish banks inspire confidence Draghi ECB says that the Central Bank is ready to act if necessary following key resistance of EUR/USD intervenes by decision of rate of the Bank of England 1.2625 due later today. services PMIs solid risk correlated active were very well bid over the few last sessions, with currency and actions significantly reverse the market players are able to let go of the worst of their fears for the moment. The doom feeling who had taken the previous week disappeared and investors are once again warming up to the idea that the euro area can escape to the current crisis and to avoid the debacle. News that the Germany is to develop plans strengthen Spanish banks without waiting for more reforms or any formal aid agreement was seen as a huge positive and it was once the primary drivers of risk of trade.
Relative performance against the USD Thursday (from 9: 25GMT)
AUD + 0.25 %
NZD + 0.13 %
CAD + 0.08 %
GBP + 0.01 %
EUR-0.03 %
CHF-0,05 %
JPY-0.30 %
Although the European Central Bank, the political left on as has been planned, the comments of the President of the ECB Draghi head that the Central Bank is ready to act if necessary have also helps enhance the feeling, while some well received Thursday EZ auction results were not bad. The Euro now eyes a retest and breaking the previous high weekly 1.2625, while the Yen has also offered very well on the liquidation of parts of refuge. Yet, at the end of the day, it's a market that desperately need on technical correction some intense risk-off moves, and at this stage, we would attribute the recent action of basic price of the "technicals".
European leadership will really need to dig and to come with some serious plans resurrect the area to be any hope of sustainable recovery Euro. Until then, the strategy should be to sell these gatherings of currency in the additional force. In the future, the Bank of England is scheduled for a rate decision later. While no change in policy is expected, there is much speculation that the Bank of England will move to a more dovish stance on the continuous pressure of world macroeconomics. Earlier, UK services PMIS came in better than expected and has helped support the pound sterling.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_Resistance_Eyed_by_Previous_Weekly_High_body_eur.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids; Resistance Eyed by Previous Weekly HighTECHNICAL OUTLOOK

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_Resistance_Eyed_by_Previous_Weekly_High_body_usd.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids; Resistance Eyed by Previous Weekly High

EUR/USD: the market is in train to correct certain levels severely oversold after breakdown of yearly lows little less 1.2300. While our global perspective is clearly downward, by we see still place upside in the short term before a high low is wanted. Locate the last daily close back above 1.2545 to open the door for an acceleration in the region of 1 2800 - 1 3000, where new offers are likely to re-emerge.

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_Resistance_Eyed_by_Previous_Weekly_High_body_gbp.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids; Resistance Eyed by Previous Weekly HighUSD/JPY: the recent setbacks have been quite intense, the market collapse by the ADM, 200 days before finally finding support by 77.65. We have since seen attempts at recovery and we support that the market should continue to break higher, with views finally fixed on a retest and rupture of 2012 senior by UST up more. However, at this stage, we need to see a break and close above 80.00 back to alleviate the pressures weighing officially and to reaffirm the optimistic prospects.

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_Resistance_Eyed_by_Previous_Weekly_High_body_usd_1.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids; Resistance Eyed by Previous Weekly HighGBP/USD: Daily studies are now well saturated and risk CIHI appear inclined backwards to allow a corrective bounce short term necessary after the setback down just shy of the 2012 bottom of January. Locate the last close back daily over 1.5440 to strengthen the prospects for growth in the short term, in the region of 1 5600 - 1 5800, where a low high costs will be sought for that underpin the acceleration of bear resumption of the trend.
USD/CHF: while we retain a broader upward perspective for this pair, with the market seen to establish above parity in the weeks to come, short-term risks are a corrective withdrawal to allow the market to establish a fresh plu bass. Thus, we see risks of weakness in the next sessions to the 0 9300 - 0 9500 area before the market seeks to reaffirm its upward momentum and broader uptrend.

Euro Finds Renewed Bids goal Price Action Still Classified as Corrective

AppId is over the quota
AppId is over the quota
Risk correlated assets finding renewed bids German plans to strengthen Spanish banks inspire confidence ECB Draghi says the central bank is ready to act if necessary EUR/USD next key resistance comes in by 1.2625 Bank of England rate decision due later today Risk correlated assets have been very well bid over the past few sessions, with currencies and equities reversing sharply as market participants are able to let go of the worst of their fears for the time being. The doom and gloom sentiment that had taken hold in the previous week has faded and investors are once again warming up to the idea that the Eurozone may be able to escape the current crisis and avoid breakup. News that Germany is drafting plans to strengthen the Spanish banks without expecting further reforms or any formal aid deal has been seen as a huge positive and this has been once of the primary drivers of this latest risk-on trade.

Although the European Central Bank left policy on hold as was expected, comments from ECB President Draghi that the central bank is willing to act if necessary have also been helping to bolster sentiment. The Euro now eyes a retest and break of the previous weekly high by 1.2625, while the Yen has also been very well offered on the liquidation of safe haven plays. Still, at the end of the day, this is a market that had been in desperate need of technical correction following some intense risk-off moves, and at this point, we would attribute the recent price action more to the technicals than fundamentals.

European leadership will really need to dig in and come up with some serious plans to resuscitate the region for there to be any hope of a sustained Euro recovery. Until then, the strategy should be to look to sell these currency rallies into additional strength. Looking ahead, the Bank of England is slated for a rate decision later today. While no policy change is expected, there is a good deal of speculation that the Bank of England will shift to a more dovish stance in light of the ongoing pressures in the global macro economy.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_But_Price_Action_Still_Classified_as_Corrective______body_Picture_5.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids But Price Action Still Classified as Corrective TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_But_Price_Action_Still_Classified_as_Corrective______body_eur.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids But Price Action Still Classified as Corrective EUR/USD:The market is in the process of correcting from some violently oversold levels after breaking to yearly lows just under 1.2300. While our overall outlook remains grossly bearish, from here we still see room for short-term upside before a fresh lower top is sought out. Look for the latest daily close back above 1.2545 to open the door for acceleration into the 1.2800-1.3000 area, where fresh offers are likely to re-emerge.

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_But_Price_Action_Still_Classified_as_Corrective______body_usd.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids But Price Action Still Classified as Corrective USD/JPY:The latest setbacks have been rather intense, with the market collapsing through the 200-Day SMA before finally finding support by 77.65. We have since seen attempts at recovery and we contend that the market should continue to break higher, with sights ultimately set on a retest and break of the 2012 highs by 84.20 further up. However, at this point, we will need to see a break and close back above 80.00 to officially alleviate downside pressures and reaffirm bullish outlook.

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_But_Price_Action_Still_Classified_as_Corrective______body_gbp.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids But Price Action Still Classified as Corrective GBP/USD: Daily studies are now well oversold and from here risks seem tilted to the upside to allow for a necessary short-term corrective bounce after setbacks stalled just shy of the 2012 lows from January. Look for the latest daily close back above 1.5440 to strengthen short-term bullish outlook, with acceleration projected into the 1.5600-1.5800 area where a fresh lower top will be sought out in favor of underlying bear trend resumption.

Euro_Finds_Renewed_Bids_But_Price_Action_Still_Classified_as_Corrective______body_usd_1.png, Euro Finds Renewed Bids But Price Action Still Classified as Corrective USD/CHF: While we retain a broader bullish outlook for this pair, with the market seen establishing back above parity over the coming weeks, shorter-term risks are for more of a corrective pullback to allow for the market to establish a fresh higher low. As such, we see risks for weakness over the coming sessions towards the 0.9300-0.9500 area before the market looks to reassert its bullish momentum and broader uptrend.

--- Written by Joel Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist

To contact Joel Kruger, email jskruger@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter @JoelKruger

To be added to Joel Kruger’s distribution list, send an email with subject line “Distribution List” to jskruger@dailyfx.com


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Friday, March 2, 2012

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Yen declines, equities gain on renewed optimism

(JP) JAPAN JAN NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: +0.1% V -0.1%E; NATIONAL CORE Y/Y: -0.1% V -0.2%E (4th consecutive month of decline); FEB TOKYO CPI Y/Y: -0.2% V -0.2%E; TOKYO CORE Y/Y: -0.3% V -0.4%E (matches 5-month high)
- (JP) JAPAN JAN JOBLESS RATE: 4.6% V 4.5%E (matches 6-month high); JOB-TO-APPLICANT RATIO: 0.73 V 0.72E
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA FEB CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) M/M: 0.4% V 0.4%E; Y/Y: 3.1% V 3.1%E; CORE CPI Y/Y: 2.5% V 3.2% PRIOR
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA FEB HSBC MANUFACTURING PMI: 50.7 V 49.2 PRIOR (first expansion since July)
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND FEB ANZ COMMODITY PRICE Y/Y: 0.0% V 1.1% PRIOR
- (JP) JAPAN FEB MONETARY BASE Y/Y: 11.3% V 15.0% PRIOR (1-year low)
- (JP) JAPAN JAN OVERALL HOUSEHOLD SPENDING Y/Y: -2.3% V -0.9%E
- (TH) THAILAND FEB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE ECONOMIC: 65.5 V 64.0 PRIOR (3rd consecutive rise)
- (ID) INDONESIA FEB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX: 111.7 V 119.2 PRIOR (multi-month low)
- (AR) Argentina Feb tax Revenue (ARS): 47.3B v 47.6Be


***Markets Snapshot (as of 05:30GMT)***
- Nikkei225 +0.7%
- S&P/ASX +0.4%
- Kospi +0.2%
- Taiwan Taiex +0.3
- Singapore Straits Times +0.4%
- Shanghai Composite +1.0%
- Hang Seng +0.9%
- S&P Futures unchanged at 1,374
- April gold unchanged at $1,722/oz
- April Crude -0.3% at $108.56


***Overview/Top Headlines***
- Markets rallied heading into the weekend after EU leaders agreed to accelerate payments to their bailout fund. EUR/USD fell 0.1% to $1.3294 while EUR/JPY tested above ¥108.40. International Swaps & Derivatives Association announced that the Greek PSI debt swap will not trigger a credit event. However warned that situation in Greece is still evolving, CDS could very well still be triggered. Energy and mining names got a boost after oil spiked to $110.55 (9-month high) on a report that a pipeline in Saudi Arabia was under attack, a Saudi official denied the press report saying that pipelines are up and running, though there is speculation in the financial press that they could be trying to cover up an event. The yen weakened against the majors,AUD/JPY rising to ¥87.85 a 10-month high while GBP/JPY tested above ¥129.90, Fin Min Azumi attributed the decline to Japan's easing efforts. Japan January National CPI was higher than expected, while February Tokyo CPI was in line with estimates and still showing deflation. Japan officials reiterated an easy monetary stance until a 1% inflation target was reached. Analyst are already looking ahead to China's National People's Congress next week. Premier Wen is expected to lower GDP target from 8% to 7.5% and will also be looking out for a mention or hint of any stimulus. It is also expected that leaders around the country will debate whether or not to implement a nationwide housing tax. According to industry analysts container freight rates from Asia to Europe have more than doubled which boosted shipping names across the region. US 10-yr Treasury yields topped 2.03%.


Looking ahead, Sunday will be Russian presidential elections.


***Speakers/Geopolitical/In the press***
- (US) Fed's Williams: Fed must keep applying stimulus vigorously as the economy needs extraordinarily supportive policy
- (JP) Japan PM Noda: Estimates FY12/13 GDP at about 1.7%; Would like US public and private support on TPP talks
- (AU) RBA board member Edwards: CAPEX component may soon reach 20% of Australia GDP
- (EU) EU's Juncker: ESM payments timing to be determined on Friday, March 2nd; There is a plan B if the Greece debt swap fails (no additional details)


***Equities***
- Sands China, 1928.HK: Reports FY11 Net $1.13B v $1.1Be; Rev $4.9B v $4.1B y/y
- China Vanke, 200002.CN: Targeting 2012 home sales over CNY148B - Chinese press
- EAD.FR: Wing cracks that have grounded the Airbus 380 superjumbo have been identified as the fault of design engineers in the UK facility - financial press
- TM: Exec: To standardize about half of its parts within the next 4 years to help reduce costs - Nikkei News
- LDW.AU: FLSmidth and Weir submit applications to Australia Takeovers Panel for review


***FX/Fixed Income/Commodities***
- SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings rise to 9,767 tons from 9,739 tons (highest since 9,769 on Dec 9th)