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Showing posts with label soutien. Show all posts
Showing posts with label soutien. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 13, 2012

$$Euro Outlook reste baissière sur le soutien de la BCE plu, sauvetages en attente

Discussion points
Euro: Spain asked the ECB to buy debt Greece to seek the third rescue Sterling: fails to test the 1.5600, all eyes on BoE Governor King U.S. Dollar: retail, product sales price disappoint - fueling speculation for Euro there: Spain asked the ECB to buy debt Greece to seek the third rescue plan
The Euro extended ahead of the previous day as the Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy has increased pressure on the Central Bank European to counter the increasing risk of contagion, and we could attend the Governing Council continuing its cycle of relaxation in the second half of the year, fundamental for the region Outlook is darker. Indeed, a newspaper Germany said that la Greece may need a third rescue as it struggles to get its house in order, although there is speculation growing Cyprus will be online at la request for help in the middle of la ongoing turmoil in the banking sector.
As Governments operating under the fixed exchange rate system become more and more dependent on monetary aid, the ECB may have little choice but to extend monetary policy further in July, but we can see the Board of directors a variety of tools to deal with the risks surrounding the region as the Union European maintains an approach to reactionary in the fight against the debt crisis. Negative headlines coming out of the region continues to cast a bearish Outlook for the EURUSD but it seems that the pair will continue to confront the range bound future prices for Greek elections under the threat of a breakdown of the euro area remains on the table. As the EURUSD is capped by the tracing of Fibonacci 23.6% of the top 2009 2010 low around 1. 2640-50, we can have the opportunity to play the side action prices towards the end of the week, and we could see the pair to strengthen in the next 24 hours, as it struggles to put in a fence above the 20-day SMA (1.2545). Its Tower, negative headlines from Europe can pave the way for a move to 1.2300 figure, and we will maintain a downward of the entering perspective as it seems to carving out a high low on June.
Pound sterling: fails to test the 1.5600, all eyes on BoE Governor King
Sterling marked a failed run in the former (1.5600) support in risk taking behaviour change, and the GBPUSD may continue to consolidate for the rest of the week, as it supports the action of price range-rebound this month. The pound sterling-dollar seems to be earning a high low in June, we should see the exchange rate fall back to 50.0% Fib of low to high around 1.5270, but the sterling 2009 may face additional turbulence in the coming week as officials of the Bank of England more cautious to the economy. Indeed, the minutes of the BoE on tap for June 20 highlights the increased risk of event for the short term, but comments from the Governor Mervyn King, who plans to speak tomorrow at 18 h 00 GMT - can instill a bearish for the sterling perspective, tilt the head of the Central Bank to ease.
US dollar: retail, product sales price disappoint - fueling speculation for there
The greenback remained under pressure on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones - FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR) drag to a minimum of 10 161 and the reserve currency may continue to give back the rebound earlier this week that European policy makers increase their efforts to maintain a sense of market. At the same time, reducing the price pressure combined with the decline in private consumption has renewed speculation for a new round of quantitative easing as the Federal Reserve leaves the door open to further develop the monetary policy, but we expect the FOMC to maintain its approach of wait and see through 2012 as the largest economy in the world gets on a more sustainable path. In turn, we remain optimistic over the medium term, and we should see the dollar resume advance earlier this year, as the Central Bank continues to soften the dovish tone for monetary policy.

Monday, April 30, 2012

$$$ US Dollar Holds Key Trend Line Support as S & P 500 Pulls Back

01 May 2012 03: 32 GMT THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar managed to hold above trend-defining rising trend line support set from August 2011 as the S & P 500 pulled back to digest recent gains.S & P 500 - Unchanged from yesterday: "Prices took out resistance at 1399.10, the 61.8% Fibonacci level tracing." The bulls now target the 76.4% level at 1409.00. "The 1399.10 level has been recast as near-term support."
US_Dollar_Holds_Key_Trend_Line_Support_as_SP_500_Pulls_Back_body_Picture_5.png, US Dollar Holds Key Trend Line Support as S&P 500 Pulls Back 
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
CRUDE OIL - Prices put in a Hanging Man candlestick below resistance at 104.90, a form level support, to hint that a pullback may be ahead. A turn lower from here sees initial support at 102.20. Alternatively, a breakout higher targets trend line resistance now at 105.91.
US_Dollar_Holds_Key_Trend_Line_Support_as_SP_500_Pulls_Back_body_Picture_6.png, US Dollar Holds Key Trend Line Support as S&P 500 Pulls Back 
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
GOLD - Prices took out the top of a falling channel set from early March, with the bulls now aiming to challenge resistance at 1680.00 and 1696.88 marked by key swing highs set on April 12 and March 27. The channel top, now at 1656.74, has been recast as near-term support.
US_Dollar_Holds_Key_Trend_Line_Support_as_SP_500_Pulls_Back_body_Picture_7.png, US Dollar Holds Key Trend Line Support as S&P 500 Pulls Back 
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
US DOLLAR - Unchanged from yesterday: "Prices are testing rising trend line set from late July 2011, with a break lower threatening to initiate a material bearish trend Exchange." A confirmed break lower initially incurred 9772. "Near-term resistance line up in the 9879-9906 area."
US_Dollar_Holds_Key_Trend_Line_Support_as_SP_500_Pulls_Back_body_Picture_8.png, US Dollar Holds Key Trend Line Support as S&P 500 Pulls Back 
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Monday, April 23, 2012

>> S&P 500 Under Pressure as US Dollar Finds Key Support Level

THE TAKEAWAY: S&P 500 selling pressure is gaining steam as prices test through a short-term support level while the US Dollar may have found a base to launch an advance.
S&P 500 – Prices are testing through rising trend line support set from the April 10 low after putting in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick below support-turned-resistance at 1392.10. A confirmed break sees initial downside objectives at 1364.10 and 1357.40.

SP_500_Under_Pressure_as_US_Dollar_Finds_Key_Support_Level_body_Picture_5.png, S&P 500 Under Pressure as US Dollar Finds Key Support Level 8hr Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
CRUDE OIL – Prices remain wedged between resistance at 104.90 and a rising trend line support set from mid-December, with a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern arguing for an upside bias. A break above 104.90 exposes falling trend line barriers at 105.21 and 106.42. Support is now at 101.58.

SP_500_Under_Pressure_as_US_Dollar_Finds_Key_Support_Level_body_Picture_6.png, S&P 500 Under Pressure as US Dollar Finds Key Support Level Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
GOLD – Prices are testing below support at 1638.02, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, after putting in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern below falling trend line resistance set from early March. A break lower exposes the 38.2% level at 1612.02. Trend line resistance is now at 1665.57.

SP_500_Under_Pressure_as_US_Dollar_Finds_Key_Support_Level_body_Picture_7.png, S&P 500 Under Pressure as US Dollar Finds Key Support Level Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
US DOLLAR – Prices are testing the intersection of a rising trend line set from early February and the bottom of a Triangle chart formation carved out over the past two months, a formation typically indicative of trend continuation (a bullish signal in this case). Near-term resistance lines up at 10007, the Triangle top. Alternatively, a break lower initially exposes 9885.

SP_500_Under_Pressure_as_US_Dollar_Finds_Key_Support_Level_body_Picture_8.png, S&P 500 Under Pressure as US Dollar Finds Key Support Level Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0