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Friday, June 29, 2012

Aussie, Euro Have Best Days Since November on Summit Results

Fundamental headlines
-Facilitated EU leaders rules of the Spain debt crisis - Bloomberg
-Euro rises after the EU abandons leaders Spain loan seniority - Bloomberg
-Why Roberts saved right from the Obama - Reuters Health
-The euro area saw only bank supervisor - WSJ
-Summit report outlines the Divisions on the sharing of power - WSJ
Summary of Asian and European Session
Oh, what a night. The past several currencies beta high days and correlated to the risk of the assets were under pressure as expectations for any kind of measures of the eurozone Summit flatly was zero. The logic was, and remains, European leaders did not have the means necessary to implement the structural reforms needed to not only stop the financial pain in the short term, but also to solve problems in the long term that first created the sovereign debt crisis.
Certainly, one of these was accomplished at the Summit this week, leading to the largest gathering of the Euro altogether by 2012. The US Dollar has had its worst day of the year; overall, we study the simple high beta currency plu displacement and correlated with the risk since 30 November 2011, when the federal reserve announced that its two years of currencies with European Central banks. Oh, what a night.
A step back in the charts for a second, we must take into account the parameters of the measures communicated to the Summit to decide or not to now almost-2 percent move in the Australian Dollar and the Euro will be long-term, or if we see some additional volatility due to the end of the month and the quarter.
In my view, there are four glaring holes in the top ads. First of all, it is clear that, in view of the language contained in the declaration, no bank recapitalisation plan by the European stability mechanism (ESM, which replaces the EFSF, the European financial stability facility) is not a guarantee; It is a possibility if strict conditions are met. Second, and stay on environmentally sound management, these changes must now be ratified by all 17 members of the Euro area; and the Germany still to ratify the agreement of the first. The ESM is therefore not be enabled. Third, the idea of the direct bank recapitalisation does serve well with taxpayers in the European core. And finally, fourth, mechanisms of rescue, in my opinion, are doomed to failure once the Italy and the Spain tap them. Once these countries tap the funds, the burden falls on the country in better health, and we have already seen that the Germany will be difficult to convince them to contribute more funds.
If there is a positive result at the Summit, it would be that the seniority has been removed from the ESM. This means that private holders who have been forced to take a cut of hair on Greek loans, have the same pain. This should allow Spanish yields recover. They have to date, with performance in Spanish note 2 years fell to 4.267 percent and performance of the note of 10 years at 6.393%.
EURUSD 5-minute: 29 June 2012
Aussie_Euro_Have_Best_Days_Since_November_on_Summit_Results_body_x0000_i1028.png, Aussie, Euro Have Best Days Since November on Summit ResultsGraphing with Marketscope - prepared by Christopher Vecchio
The Australian Dollar is the now surging 1.99% against the U.S. Dollar this day Friday. The EURUSD is significantly stronger, appreciating of 1.94%. The New Zealand Dollar has followed more so, with the NZDUSD judging of 1.90%. The Japanese Yen is the worst, with the USDJPY rallying for only 0.16 per cent.
PriceAction 24-hour
Aussie_Euro_Have_Best_Days_Since_November_on_Summit_Results_body_Picture_1.png, Aussie, Euro Have Best Days Since November on Summit ResultsAussie_Euro_Have_Best_Days_Since_November_on_Summit_Results_body_Picture_7.png, Aussie, Euro Have Best Days Since November on Summit Results

Main levels: 14: 20 GMT
Aussie_Euro_Have_Best_Days_Since_November_on_Summit_Results_body_Picture_4.png, Aussie, Euro Have Best Days Since November on Summit Results
So far, on Friday, the Dow Jones FXCM Dollar Index (Ticker: USDOLLAR) is significantly less, trade at 10056.19 at the time when this report was written, after opening at 10173.06. The index traded mostly lower, with the high in the 10179.54 and bass at 10049.57.

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